Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in September25 bps decrease
ResolvedOutcome: No$9Kas of
Odds now
This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .
YES0¢
NO100¢
as of
What moved the odds?
8 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
NOReuters94%match100¢
RBA Gov Bullock: Board Considered Holding Rates and 25 Bps Hike
RBA Raises Cash Rate Target By 25bps to 4.6%, As Expected
NONews97%match100¢
Reserve Bank of Australia raises interest rates by 0.25%, bringing policy rate to 4.60% – as expected by the market.
NOdbnews92%match100¢
*RBA RAISES CASH RATE TARGET BY 25BPS TO 4.6%; EST. 4.60%
Live: RBA governor paves way for rate hike in September
NOReuters92%match98¢+2%
RBA: with Monetary Policy Judged to Be Somewhat Restrictive, the Board Decided to Leave the Cash Rate Target Unchanged While It Assesses How the Economy is Evolving
Live: RBA predicted to hold cash rate The Reserve Bank’s latest interest rate decision is due at 2:30pm today, and the unanimous prediction is that they will hold the
Australia dollar slips after six weeks of gains, RBA likely to hold rates
Where does the news lean?
0YES11NO2neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 94%.
How did this market resolve?
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the cash rate target resulting from the September 2026 meeting of the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) Monetary Policy Board, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source will be official information from the Reserve Bank of Australia, including the statement or release from its September 2026 meeting, scheduled for September 28-29, 2026, as listed on the official RBA calendar (https://www.rba.gov.au/schedules-events/calendar/?topics=monetary-policy-board). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Reserve Bank of Australia Monetary Policy Board resulting from its September 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of "Increase" or "Decrease" will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting.
If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.
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See all outcomes for Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in September — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.