When will the GOP use 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster?December 31, 2026
Open$6Kas of
Odds now
The market prices a 5% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES5¢
NO95¢
as of
What moved the odds?
1 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
YESelonmusk99%match35¢-86%
Democrats are weaponizing the Senate’s rules to block the SAVE America Act, defund @DHSgov, & hurt the American people to spite @POTUS. • • @SenateGOP can either let Dems keep obstructing & smash the filibuster the first chance they get, or we can act now & use the mandate the American people gave @realDonaldTrump & Republicans to secure our elections, protect our homeland, & bring back common sense. • • Democrats started this fight. I support whatever changes to Senate rules are necessary to finish it and pass the SAVE America Act. • •
Where does the news lean?
2YES3NO2neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 99%.
What would make this resolve YES?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a motion to invoke cloture and end debate on any part of the legislative process, with such a cloture motion receiving Yea votes from fewer than three-fifths of the Senators by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.
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