When will the GOP use 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster?
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Market pricing makes December 31, 2026 the favorite at 12% across 4 tracked outcomes, as of .
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GOP senator proposes vote to nix filibuster amid elections bill debate
GOP senator proposes vote to nix filibuster amid elections bill debate
A long (more than a week+) of debate w/ still being crafted amendments, late-night sessions and making Dems stay on the floor to prevent Rs from calling the vote is in fact part of the Senate GOP strategy:
A long (more than a week+) of debate w/ still being crafted amendments, late-night sessions and making Dems stay on the floor to prevent Rs from calling the vote is in fact part of the Senate GOP strategy:
Democrats are weaponizing the Senate’s rules to block the SAVE America Act, defund @DHSgov, & hurt the American people to spite @POTUS. • • @SenateGOP can either let Dems keep obstructing & smash the filibuster the first chance they get, or we can act now & use the mandate the American people gave @realDonaldTrump & Republicans to secure our elections, protect our homeland, & bring back common sense. • • Democrats started this fight. I support whatever changes to Senate rules are necessary to finish it and pass the SAVE America Act. • •
Democrats are weaponizing the Senate’s rules to block the SAVE America Act, defund @DHSgov, & hurt the American people to spite @POTUS. • • @SenateGOP can either let Dems keep obstructing & smash the filibuster the first chance they get, or we can act now & use the mandate the American people gave @realDonaldTrump & Republicans to secure our elections, protect our homeland, & bring back common sense. • • Democrats started this fight. I support whatever changes to Senate rules are necessary to finish it and pass the SAVE America Act. • •
It's not entirely clear the procedural process the SAVE America Act will be brought to the floor, but I'm told by those involved in discussions that while the talking filibuster "might not be formally invoked, there are elements that will likely be in play" • • Not clear what that would look like, but whatever it is would probably "be difficult to differentiate between this and the talking filibuster" • • Details are fluid, so take that with a grain of salt
Sounds like this is shaping up to be a messaging vote at a 60-vote threshold given the lack of support for the talking filibuster. As for timing, could happen as soon as next week but Senate currently is on the housing bill and R’s would like to get DHS funded soon too …
Why top Senate Republicans are skeptical about using a 'talking filibuster' to pass Trump's SAVE America Act
Why top Senate Republicans are skeptical about using a 'talking filibuster' to pass Trump's SAVE America Act
Filibuster fight comes full circle as GOP faces internal pressure on elections bill
Senate Republicans plan to discuss the "talking filibuster" this week, likely today at lunch comes as House GOP leaders are using a procedural move today to fast-track the updated SAVE Act in Senate - part of a last-ditch effort as Trump + some Rs push to skirt the filibuster >
If we can’t pass the SAVE Act, we’re toast But we can pass the SAVE Act We must And we will—but first we have to ditch the Zombie Filibuster Who’s on board?
Eliminating the Zombie Filibuster would come with a price: It would require senators to work harder Those terms are acceptable to me Are they to you? How about your senators?
What is this event about?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a motion to invoke cloture and end debate on any part of the legislative process, with such a cloture motion receiving Yea votes from fewer than three-fifths of the Senators by October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.