Bank of England decision in September?25 bps increase
ResolvedOutcome: No$140Kas of
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This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .
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NO100¢
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21 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
[UPDATE] Bank of England keeps policy interest rate unchanged at 3.75% for the sixth consecutive meeting (first reported at 2026-09-17T08:00:18.970576900Z)
BoE Hold Masks A Sharper Bias Towards Tightening • • The Bank of England held the Bank Rate at 3.75% in a 6–3 vote, as expected, but shifted closer to further tightening. Energy prices have risen sharply since July, lifting the Bank’s early-2027 inflation forecast above 4%, while stronger activity suggests economic slack may no longer be increasing. • • Although the MPC still sees little evidence of second-round effects in wages and prices, it now judges those risks to have grown and the inflation outlook to be more clearly tilted to the upside. Notably, several members who voted to hold said the case for raising rates is building if the conflict and energy shock persist. • • The decision should reinforce higher-for-longer expectations and leave a near-term hike firmly in play, supporting sterling and pressuring short-dated gilts. Separately, the Bank made quantitative tightening more predictable, committing to unwind its monetary-policy gilt portfolio by 2034 while maintaining £20 bn of annual sales.
The Bank of England left interest rates unchanged at 3.75% by a six-to-three vote on its Monetary Policy Committee.
Cailian Press, September 17th - The Bank of England kept its benchmark interest rate unchanged at 3.75%, in line with market expectations.
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Bank of England:at Its Meeting Ending on 16 September 2026, the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) Voted by a Majority of 6-3 to Maintain Bank Rate at 3.75%
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Reuters Poll-Bank of England to Hold Bank Rate at 3.75% in September, Said All 65 Economists Surveyed
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BNP Paribas Expects BoE to Hike Interest Rates by 25 Bp in November 2026 vs Prior Forecast of a Hike in September This Year
Investors’ expectations for next Bank of England rate hike drift into 2027
Live: Bank of England likely to hold interest rates
NOReuters93%match92¢+9%
Reuters Poll-Bank of England to Hold Bank Rate Steady at 3.75% Through to First Quarter of Next Year, Medians Showed
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Reuters Poll-Bank of England to Hold Bank Rate at 3.75% in 2026, Said 56 Out of 64 Economists
Live: Traders cut bets on September rate rise
Remainder of the MPC clearly content with a ‘wait & see†approach, not least given policy is already restrictive…central scenario CPI peak @ 3.2% also minimises second-round risks even further…Bank Rate should be unch through year-end even if dissents continue…
Six members of the Bank of England voted to keep interest rates unchanged, while three voted to raise them. #ArabicBusiness
NONews93%match71¢+41%
The Bank of England is expected to keep its key interest rate at 3.75% per annum, the regulator said.
Live: A quick check-in on markets before the Bank of England reveals its latest policy decision at noon UK time. Financial markets are pricing in a 93% chance that th
LS PREVIEW | BoE Set To Hold Rates As Markets Focus On Vote Split And Updated Forecasts • • LONDON – Few expect the Bank of England to spring a surprise on Thursday, with policymakers widely forecast to leave the Bank Rate unchanged at 3.75%. Instead, attention will centre on the Monetary Policy Report, the voting split and whether officials adopt a more hawkish tone in response to renewed energy-driven inflation risks. • • The decision is due at midday (London time) on Thursday. The MPC is expected to vote 7-2 in favour of a hold. The committee's two consistent hawks, chief economist Huw Pill and Megan Greene, are expected to again vote for tighter policy, while some analysts believe Catherine Mann could join them. • • This meeting will also include the BoE's annual review of quantitative tightening. Barclays expects the Bank to conclude that QT has increased gilt yields by around 15-25 basis points. • •
Live: Bank of England expected to do 'hawkish hold' on interest rates
The Bank of England is likely to keep its policy interest rate unchanged at 3.75% for the fifth consecutive meeting.
Interest rates expected to be held again by Bank of England
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Reuters Poll-Bank of England to Hold Bank Rate Steady at 3.75% Through to Middle of Next Year, Medians Showed
Where does the news lean?
5YES27NO5neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 93%.
How did this market resolve?
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the Bank Rate resulting from the September 2026 meeting of the Bank of England’s Monetary Policy Committee, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of England, including the statement or release from its September 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting, scheduled for September 17 2026, as listed on the official Bank of England calendar (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of England's September 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.
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