Bank of England decision in September?

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Market pricing makes No change the favorite at 96% across 5 tracked outcomes, as of .

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30 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s latest price as of .

First Bank assesses that the central bank will not raise interest rates in September, and cash dividend yields are expected to increase by 30% compared to last year.
First Bank assesses that the central bank will not raise interest rates in September, and cash dividend yields are expected to increase by 30% compared to last year.
25 bps increasedbws.io92%match91¢+7%
Investors’ expectations for next Bank of England rate hike drift into 2027
50+ bps increasedbws.io91%match100¢
Investors’ expectations for next Bank of England rate hike drift into 2027
Live: Bank tips September rate rise Unexpectedly strong inflation figures have forced a rethink on interest rates, with three out of four big banks now tipping the RB
Live: Bank of England likely to hold interest rates
Live: Bank of England likely to hold interest rates
Live: Bank of England likely to hold interest rates
Live: Bank of England likely to hold interest rates
25 bps increaseReuters93%match92¢+5%
Reuters Poll-Bank of England to Hold Bank Rate Steady at 3.75% Through to First Quarter of Next Year, Medians Showed
25 bps decreaseReuters92%match99¢
Reuters Poll-Bank of England to Hold Bank Rate Steady at 3.75% Through to First Quarter of Next Year, Medians Showed
50+ bps decreaseReuters92%match100¢
Reuters Poll-Bank of England to Hold Bank Rate Steady at 3.75% Through to First Quarter of Next Year, Medians Showed
50+ bps increaseReuters92%match100¢
Reuters Poll-Bank of England to Hold Bank Rate Steady at 3.75% Through to First Quarter of Next Year, Medians Showed
25 bps increaseReuters96%match92¢+5%
Reuters Poll-Bank of England to Hold Bank Rate at 3.75% in 2026, Said 56 Out of 64 Economists
25 bps decreaseReuters96%match99¢
Reuters Poll-Bank of England to Hold Bank Rate at 3.75% in 2026, Said 56 Out of 64 Economists
50+ bps decreaseReuters96%match100¢
Reuters Poll-Bank of England to Hold Bank Rate at 3.75% in 2026, Said 56 Out of 64 Economists
50+ bps increaseReuters95%match100¢
Reuters Poll-Bank of England to Hold Bank Rate at 3.75% in 2026, Said 56 Out of 64 Economists
Live: Closing summary: Chances of Bank of England September hike fall
Live: Closing summary: Chances of Bank of England September hike fall
Live: Traders cut bets on September rate rise
No changetheguardian.com98%match76¢+26%
Live: The probabilities of a “no change” decision at the next meeting in September are still inching up as investors digest the Bank of England ’s statement. Investor
25 bps increasenikkei93%match75¢+29%
Bank of England keeps policy interest rate unchanged at 3.75% for the fifth consecutive meeting
25 bps decreasenikkei93%match100¢-1%
Bank of England keeps policy interest rate unchanged at 3.75% for the fifth consecutive meeting
50+ bps increasenikkei93%match100¢
Bank of England keeps policy interest rate unchanged at 3.75% for the fifth consecutive meeting
25 bps decreasecnbc92%match100¢-1%
Bank of England holds UK interest rate steady at 3.75% — but policymakers see upside inflation risk
25 bps increasenikkei.com94%match71¢+37%
Bank of England keeps policy interest rate unchanged at 3.75% for the fifth consecutive meeting.
25 bps decreasenikkei.com93%match100¢-1%
Bank of England keeps policy interest rate unchanged at 3.75% for the fifth consecutive meeting.
No changetheguardian.com94%match28¢-86%
Live: There has been a bit of a move in implied interest rate probabilities: financial market investors are now pricing in a 64.3% chance there is no change at the Se
25 bps increaseMacro analyst91%match70¢+39%
Remainder of the MPC clearly content with a ‘wait & see†approach, not least given policy is already restrictive…central scenario CPI peak @ 3.2% also minimises second-round risks even further…Bank Rate should be unch through year-end even if dissents continue…
25 bps increaselivesquawk93%match30¢-90%
Traders Add To BoE Rate Bets; Price 39Bps Of Hikes By Year End

What is this event about?

This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the Bank Rate resulting from the September 2026 meeting of the Bank of England’s Monetary Policy Committee, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of England, including the statement or release from its September 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting, scheduled for September 17 2026, as listed on the official Bank of England calendar (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of England's September 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting with relevant data is issued. If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound. If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size. If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.

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