Trump x Greenland deal signedDecember 31
ResolvedOutcome: Yes$480Kas of
Odds now
This market has resolved Yes. Final market pricing put YES at 100%, as of .
YES100¢
NO0¢
as of
What moved the odds?
56 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
Trump signs agreements with Greenland and Denmark in an effort to resolve the Arctic deadlock.
Trump signs security agreement with Greenland and Denmark at the United Nations
Live: Greenland, Denmark welcome ‘milestone’ deal with US
Trump signs ‘fantastic’ Greenland security deal with Denmark
President Donald J. Trump, together with the Prime Ministers of Denmark & Greenland, sign the landmark security agreement granting the U.S. permanent control over Greenland’s security.
The US, Denmark, and Greenland sign a security agreement regarding Greenland. Trump announces Washington's intention to build two new military bases in Greenland as part of the new agreement. Trump affirms that the security agreement concluded regarding Greenland will contribute to strengthening and supporting the NATO security system. #Arabic_Business
Donald Trump signs the security agreement with Greenland and Denmark, "two very large military bases" to be built soon
[UPDATE] Trump signs US-Denmark-Greenland agreement to bolster Arctic security after prolonged tensions (first reported at 2026-09-22T15:40:57Z)
US President Donald Trump signed an agreement for a larger US military presence in Greenland in a trilateral ceremony with Danish Prime Minister Mette Frederiksen and Greenlandic Prime Minister Jens Frederik Nielsen in New York on Tuesday, September 21. The ceremony took place after Donald Trump’s speech to the United Nations General Assembly. The agreement is a far cry from Trump’s call for the island to be annexed by the US.
The Danish Prime Minister described it as an agreement that “could last forever.” He added that the agreement emphasizes the importance of the NATO alliance and respects Greenland’s right to self-determination.
Live: Denmark calls Greenland deal with US "good agreement" for all parties
Live: Trump hails ‘tremendous’ Greenland security deal with Denmark
The US, Denmark and Greenland have signed a security agreement for the Arctic island after months of disputes over its future. The parties have concluded an agreement to "develop a significant US military presence in Greenland", which at the same time prohibits Washington's opponents from building their own bases on the island. According to the head of the Greenland government, the new document continues the 1951 agreement between the parties subscribe
Donald Trump signs a security agreement with Greenland and Denmark
Live: After 18 months of threatening to buy or seize Greenland, President Trump settled for far less on Tuesday, signing an agreement that essentially extends and modifies a 1951 treaty but leaves the sovereignty of the island in Denmark’s hands.
The White House: President Donald Trump officially signed the historic security agreement concerning Greenland with the prime ministers of Denmark and Greenland.
Trump signs ‘fantastic’ Greenland security deal with Denmark
BREAKING: President Trump signs a deal with Greenland and Denmark giving the U.S. broad military authority over the island.
Trump signs agreement to build "two military bases" in Greenland
Trump says 2 new US bases coming to Greenland as deal signed
Greenland deal with Trump ends ‘destructive’ chapter
Have the U.S. and Europe lastingly resolved the dispute over Greenland which NATO members said could break the alliance? President Trump appears to beleive so: • • “This has been an amazing journey with tremendous people, and two of them are at my left, and I very much appreciate it,” Trump said at the podium, flanked by the two leaders of Denmark and Greenland. “We just did that,” he said, adding that the three nations are “going to have a tremendous relationship, a secure relationship, and we look forward to it.”
Breakthrough in the island dispute: Greenland, Denmark and the USA sign agreement
Live: Trump says US to build two ‘big’ bases on Greenland as deal signed
Live: Greenland, Denmark and US sign landmark security deal
President Donald J. Trump officially signs the landmark Greenland security deal alongside Prime Minister Mette Frederiksen of Denmark and Prime Minister Jens-Frederik Nielsen of Greenland. • • This HISTORIC deal is critical for American national security and defense in the Arctic Region.
Donald Trump signs an agreement with Denmark and Greenland after months of tensions
YESReuters94%match100¢
US-Denmark-Greenland Agreement: Deal is Subject to Necessary Parliamentary Procedures by the Kingdom of Denmark Together with Greenland
Trump Signs Greenland Agreement With Denmark. • The president has said the deal would boost U.S. military presence on the island he once hoped to take over entirely.
[UPDATE] Trump signs ‘forever’ Greenland deal. Live UN updates here. (first reported at 2026-09-22T13:05:06.973639100Z)
President Donald J. Trump officially signs the landmark Greenland security deal alongside Prime Minister Mette Frederiksen of Denmark and Prime Minister Jens-Frederik Nielsen of Greenland. • • This HISTORIC deal is critical for American national security and defense in the Arctic Region.
Live: Trump signs security deal with Greenland, Denmark on sidelines of UNGA
Live: Donald Trump signs a security agreement with Greenland and Denmark at the UN
Live: #UN #GREENLAND US President Donald Trump signed a security agreement with Greenland and Denmark at UN headquarters, hailing the start of a "fantastic" relationship that is good for NATO...
#BREAKING Trump signs security deal with Greenland, Denmark on sidelines of UN General Assembly
US President Donald Trump, along with the leaders of Denmark and Greenland, signed a trilateral security agreement in New York.
Under the agreement, the US will establish a significant military presence in Greenland and "US adversaries" will be prohibited from establishing bases on the island.
AGREEMENT BETWEEN THE GOVERNMENT OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA AND THE GOVERNMENT OF THE KINGDOM OF DENMARK TOGETHER WITH THE GOVERNMENT OF GREENLAND TO AMEND AND SUPPLEMENT THE AGREEMENT OF 27 APRIL 1951 PURSUANT TO THE NORTH ATLANTIC TREATY BETWEEN THE GOVERNMENT OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA AND THE GOVERNMENT OF THE KINGDOM OF DENMARK ON THE DEFENSE OF GREENLAND (1951 DEFENSE AGREEMENT), INCLUDING ALL RELEVANT SUBSEQUENT AGREEMENTS RELATED THERETO
Trump signs security deal with Greenland, Denmark at UN
Live: Donald Trump lauds new security deal between the US and Denmark over Greenland
Greenland, Denmark and the United States have signed a joint agreement that strengthens defense and security in the Arctic and the North Atlantic area. Read the agreement here:
The United States, Denmark, and Greenland sign an agreement regarding Greenland with no expiration date.
The US, Denmark, and Greenland sign a security agreement on Greenland.
====== The United States, Denmark, and Greenland have signed a joint security agreement regarding Greenland. Trump announced Washington's intention to build two new military bases in Greenland as part of the new agreement. Trump affirms that the security agreement concluded regarding Greenland will contribute to strengthening and supporting the NATO security system.
The United States and Denmark signed an agreement on Greenland.
Live: Trump signs pact with Greenland and Denmark for US presence on island
The United States, Denmark, and Greenland signed an agreement allowing for an expanded military presence on the island. Earlier, during his speech to the UN General Assembly, Trump announced that the United States would immediately begin deploying a large-scale military presence in Greenland, including the establishment of two military bases.
Greenland, the USA and Denmark sign agreement
Trump: We will sign the Greenland agreement today.
YESReuters93%match98¢+2%
US-Listed Shares of Companies Exposed to Greenland Surge After US and Denmark Reach Deal on Greenland
YESReuters94%match98¢+2%
US-Listed Shares of Companies Exposed to Greenland Jump Premarket After US and Denmark Reach Deal on Greenland
The Greenland deal announced by Trump doesn’t deliver the control he had wanted, but American and Greenlandic businesses hope easing tensions spurs investment, reduces stigma of working with the U.S. via @WSJ
Denmark hails ‘binding’ Greenland deal with Trump giving US ‘permanent control’ of security
This historic deal is a huge win for the United States and the American people. Thanks to President Trump’s vision and leadership, this historic agreement permanently guarantees U.S. security interests in the Arctic at zero cost to the U.S. taxpayer. • • Greenland will forever be part of the strategic defense area of North America and exclude any adversary from it and the surrounding area. • • This deal permanently and completely addresses our national security concerns in Greenland.
Trump announced the signing of an agreement with Denmark and Greenland According to him, it gives the United States control over "security issues" in Greenland. According to the agreement, no adversary of the United States will be able to have a military base in Greenland, carry out a military presence, or invest in the island without the express written consent of Washington. Trump emphasized that the deal is indefinite and "will cost nothing" to the United States. "For over 100 years, [US] presidents have known about the strategic importance of Greenland, but none of them could do anything about it. I am proud to be the president who finally and irrevocably resolved this very important issue," Trump wrote on the Truth Social social network. Max | Telegram | Newsletter | iOS App | Android
Denmark acknowledges imminent signing of colonial agreement with Trump administration The governments of Denmark and Greenland announced in an official statement that an agreement between Greenland, Denmark and the United States to strengthen security (!) in the Arctic and North Atlantic region [by the United States] is scheduled to be signed next week. @iribnews [in reply to: Trump claims to have reached an agreement with Denmark and Greenland The US President claimed that the United States has reached an agreement with the Kingdom of Denmark and Greenland that gives the United States "permanent control" over security and all other needs in Greenland. @iribnews]
Trump: We have reached an agreement with Denmark under which we will permanently control the security aspects in Greenland.
★Agreement signed on Greenland management, says Trump
YESReuters95%match15¢+567%
Exclusive-US, Denmark Closing in on Deal Regarding Greenland, Sources Say
Where does the news lean?
477YES8NO15neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 95%.
Past moves on this market
Material odds moves (≥8 points within an hour of a matched news signal), newest first — each links to a dated brief on what moved the price.
How did this market resolve?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if both Denmark and the United States sign a deal, treaty, or similar international agreement of any kind relating to Greenland by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any U.S.–Danish agreement relating to Greenland will qualify, regardless of subject matter, including but not limited to sovereignty, governance, security arrangements, or access to natural resources.
Examples of qualifying deals include but are not limited to a treaty that makes any portion of Greenland a U.S. territory or possession (even if the handover date for such territory or possession is later); or, a Guantánamo-style arrangement treaty establishing a defined zone in Greenland under exclusive or primary U.S. jurisdiction and control, where Denmark and Greenland’s ordinary legal authority does not apply except by U.S. permission; or agreements permitting additional U.S. troop stationing, basing access, or resource extraction rights in Greenland.
This market will resolve to “Yes” only if a qualifying agreement is formally signed by authorized representatives of both Denmark and the United States. Official announcements, statements of intent, or declarations that an agreement has been reached will not suffice unless accompanied by signatures from both sides. Whether or not a qualifying deal is later passed by the respective parliaments or enters into force will not affect this market’s resolution. Signaling from Greenland’s population will not be considered.
Announcements, negotiations, proposals, frameworks, or understandings that are not formally signed by both parties will not qualify. Any qualifying U.S. jurisdiction, control, basing rights, or access arrangements in Greenland that existed at market creation will not count as new qualifying agreements.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Denmark; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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