Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31? Odds jumped to 90% on Sep 18, 2026
ResolvedOutcome: Yes
Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31? On , the market’s odds jumped from 15¢ to 89.5¢ (+74.5 pts) within an hour of a news signal, one of a 2-source news cluster, from Reuters. The market has since resolved Yes.
How did the odds move?
Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.
Later moves the same day
This is the market’s single brief for Sep 18, 2026; further measured moves that day are folded in here as they are stamped.
- 15¢ → 89¢+74 ptsafter a signal from dbws.io
- 54.5¢ → 89.5¢+35 ptsafter a signal from Reuters Reporter
- 56.5¢ → 89.5¢+33 ptsafter a signal from Walter Bloomberg
- 56¢ → 94¢+38 ptsafter a signal from truthsocial.com
- 64¢ → 94¢+30 ptsafter a signal from Reuters
- 70.5¢ → 94¢+23.5 ptsafter a signal from foxnews.com
- 68¢ → 94¢+26 ptsafter a signal from RFE/RL Reporter
- 69.5¢ → 94.5¢+25 ptsafter a signal from faststocknewss
- 69.5¢ → 94.5¢+25 ptsafter a signal from Walter Bloomberg
- 69.5¢ → 94.5¢+25 ptsafter a signal from ynet.co.il
- 71¢ → 94.5¢+23.5 ptsafter a signal from News
- 71¢ → 94.5¢+23.5 ptsafter a signal from Asharq
What moved the odds?
Part of a 2-source news cluster, first seen . The triggering signal is listed first.
Where does this market stand now?
This market has resolved Yes. Final market pricing put YES at 100%, as of .
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Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.
See all outcomes for Trump x Greenland deal signed — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.