Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31? Odds jumped to 90% on Sep 18, 2026
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Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31? On , the market’s odds jumped from 15¢ to 89.5¢ (+74.5 pts) within an hour of a news signal, one of a 2-source news cluster, from Reuters.
How did the odds move?
15¢
56¢
74¢
89.5¢
+74.5 pts
Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.
What moved the odds?
Part of a 2-source news cluster, first seen . The triggering signal is listed first.
YesReuters95%match
Exclusive-US, Denmark Closing in on Deal Regarding Greenland, Sources Say
Yesdbws.io96%match
EXCLUSIVE-US and Denmark close in on a Greenland deal, sources say
Where does this market stand now?
The market prices a 90% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES90¢
NO11¢
$148K
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Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.