Where will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place...?Other - Middle East/North Africa

OpenVol$4KDeadlineas of

Odds now

The market prices a 1% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .

YES1¢
NO100¢

24has of

What moved the odds?

9 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .

YESiranintlbrk92%match0¢
Reuters reported that Iranian negotiators left the Doha talks on Sunday, but their departure was not due to problems in the talks. According to the report, a draft proposal is being circulated for comments from the parties, and another meeting is likely to be held to follow up on the talks.
NOfoxnews.com92%match98¢+1%
Live: US, Iran to hold indirect talks in New York via Qatari mediators: report
NOiranintl93%match98¢+1%
Iranian media reported that Abbas Araqchi and the Iranian delegation will meet with US negotiators in New York in the coming hours. Reuters reported that the mediators will hold separate talks with representatives from Tehran and Washington on Monday or Tuesday. The focus of these talks is expected to be a revised version of the seven-day proposal that the Islamic Republic presented on the sidelines of the UN General Assembly. Earlier, Donald Trump had said that the talks would resume this week, emphasizing that the military option was still on the table. Interview with Samira Qaraei, Iran International correspondent
NOiranintl95%match98¢+1%
Reuters reported on Monday, October 26, citing an official familiar with the talks, that the mediators are scheduled to hold separate talks with the United States and the Islamic Republic on Monday or Tuesday. According to the official, Abbas Araqchi, the Islamic Republic's Foreign Minister, and Qatari mediators are in the United States, and the talks are expected to focus on a revised version of a seven-day proposal that the Islamic Republic presented on the sidelines of the United Nations General Assembly.
NOalhadath92%match98¢+1%
Source to Reuters: Mediators will hold separate talks with the US and Iran in New York today or tomorrow ====================== Source to Reuters: Mediators will hold separate talks with the US and Iran in New York today or tomorrow The talks in New York will focus on a revised version of Iran's latest proposal Araqchi and the mediators remain in New York to revive the talks
NOAl Arabiya92%match98¢+1%
A source told Reuters that mediators will hold separate talks with the US and Iran in New York today or tomorrow.
NOReuters94%match98¢+1%
Mediators Expected to Hold Separate Talks with US and Iran on Monday or Tuesday, with Iran’s Araqchi and Qatari Mediators Remaining in US - Official Briefed on the Negotiations to Reuters
YESalhadath92%match3¢-67%
Axios, citing a source: Qatari mediators to hold separate meetings tomorrow with Araqchi and Witkoff ====== Axios reports, citing a source familiar with the matter, that Qatari mediators will hold separate meetings tomorrow with Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araqchi and US envoy Steve Witkoff. US President Donald Trump confirms to Axios his expectation of further diplomatic talks with the Iranian side this week. Trump clarifies that Tehran is indeed seeking an agreement, but the current proposal does not represent the agreement he desires to sign. The Iranian Foreign Minister reiterates on NBC his country's commitment to the peaceful path and its readiness to negotiate and reach a diplomatic solution.
NOalarabiya92%match97¢+2%
After three hours of Qatari-mediated talks in New York, Washington described the contacts with Iran as productive, with Trump saying a settlement is possible. An Iranian official, however, confirmed that an agreement remains far off.

Where does the news lean?

9YES18NO4neutraltrailing 24h

Average match confidence across the listed signals: 93%.

What would make this resolve YES?

On June 22, the first round of U.S.-Iran diplomatic talks in Switzerland concluded, with mediators reporting progress toward a roadmap for a final deal and follow-on technical talks expected to continue (see: https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/6/22/us-iran-agree-on-roadmap-towards-final-deal-in-switzerland-talks). This market will resolve according to the country in which the next direct or indirect senior-level diplomatic meeting between the United States and Iran begins by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. A diplomatic meeting occurs when representatives of both listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in diplomacy on behalf of their respective governments or governing authorities deliberately meet for the purpose of diplomacy or negotiation. A qualifying meeting need not result in any agreement, joint statement, or further engagement. A diplomatic meeting is senior-level if each listed entity is represented by a head of state, a head of government, or a vice president; a foreign minister; a minister of cabinet rank; the secretary or head of a national security council; the presiding officer of a national legislature; a special envoy; or another individual designated by the head of state or head of government to conduct diplomatic negotiations on their behalf. Individuals authorized only for technical, implementation, monitoring, staff-level, preparatory, or working-group-level talks will not be considered designated to conduct diplomatic negotiations on behalf of the head of state or head of government. This definition includes, but is not limited to, all of the following individuals: for the United States, Donald Trump, JD Vance, Marco Rubio, Scott Bessent, Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner; and for Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, Masoud Pezeshkian, Abbas Araghchi and Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf. In each case, a qualifying representative must participate in the meeting. A direct meeting refers to a diplomatic meeting where the representatives of both countries directly interact with each other in person. Meetings conducted through translators qualify, provided direct, face-to-face communication occurs. An indirect meeting refers to a meeting conducted indirectly through designated mediators or facilitators. A qualifying indirect meeting must meet both of the following criteria (i) the designated intermediaries act with the knowledge and authorization of both entities; (ii) representatives of both entities are physically present in the same facility, venue, or city as part of a single organized round of talks convened for the purpose of diplomatic engagement, with the intermediary conveying communications between the representatives or delegations on the same day. “The same day” means the same calendar day local time at the meeting location. Sessions, proceedings, or convenings of standing international organizations, treaty bodies, or recurring multilateral summits or conferences (e.g., the United Nations General Assembly, G7, and G20 summits) do not qualify, unless a qualifying and deliberate diplomatic meeting between representatives of the listed countries is separately held alongside such a convening. The following do not qualify as either a direct or indirect diplomatic meeting: chance encounters; standalone exchanges limited to greetings, courtesies, or photo opportunities; meetings conducted remotely, by telephone, or by any other means where the relevant representatives are not physically present at the same facility, venue, or city on the same day; discussions involving persons not authorized to engage in diplomacy or negotiation on behalf of their respective governments. If a qualifying senior-level diplomatic meeting occurs in more than one country, resolution will be based on the country where the first qualifying senior-level diplomatic session begins. If the next qualifying senior-level diplomatic meeting begins in any country in the Middle East or North Africa other than the listed options, this market will resolve to “Other - Middle East/North Africa.” If the next qualifying senior-level diplomatic meeting begins in any country in Europe other than the listed options, this market will resolve to “Other - Europe.” For purposes of this market, countries’ regions will be determined based on the U.S. State Department’s regional classifications in the “Countries and Areas List” (https://www.state.gov/countries-and-areas-list). Any country classified as part of “Europe and Eurasia” will be considered to be in Europe. Any country classified as part of “Near East (Middle East and North Africa)” will be considered to be in the Middle East/North Africa. If the next qualifying senior-level diplomatic meeting begins in any unlisted country that is not classified in either specified region, this market will resolve to “Other.” If no qualifying senior-level diplomatic meeting begins by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Meeting by December 31.” The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.

Sourcealjazeera.com

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