Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach __ barrels per day in 2026?

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Market pricing makes 1.2m the favorite at 55% across 8 tracked outcomes, as of .

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1m100%
1.1m100%
1.2m55%
1.3m16%
1.5m12%
1.4m10%
2m4%

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1.2mIran State-Run Shana93%match73¢-25%
Venezuela's oil exports fell in September Shipping data showed that Venezuela's crude oil exports fell in September due to high sea transportation costs. Venezuela's daily crude oil exports to India fell from 297,000 barrels in August to 253,000 barrels in September, while the country's exports to Europe fell from 260,000 barrels to about 86,000 barrels. Venezuela announced in its report to the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) that its crude oil production in August reached 1.2 million barrels per day, unchanged from July, but higher than the amount produced in the same month last year. shana.ir/news/2982899 @Shananewsroom
Venezuela's oil exports fell by about 9 percent in September to 1.08 million barrels per day (bpd) as a sharp rise in tanker costs forced traders to seek further discounts and delayed shipments from the country. Major global traders including Vitol and Trafigura have pressured Venezuela's state-run oil company PDVSA to negotiate better terms as shipping costs have squeezed their margins and tanker rerouting has added to shipping delays that have accumulated since the summer. Despite the overall decline in exports, the United States received more crude from Venezuela. Shipments to the United States rose from 553,000 bpd in August to 629,000 bpd in September. Exports to India fell from 297,000 barrels per day to 253,000 barrels per day during the same period, while purchases by European countries also fell sharply, from 260,000 barrels to 86,000 barrels per day. The American company Chevron exported about 283,000 barrels of oil per day from Venezuela, almost unchanged from August. Trading companies also moved 637,000 barrels per day of oil, an increase from 597,000 barrels the previous month. According to statistics submitted to OPEC, Venezuela produced about 1.2 million barrels per day of oil in August. Crude oil stockpiles at the Jose export terminal in September were down only slightly from higher levels earlier this year. The figures came as more than 250 companies traveled to Caracas to discuss the next round of Venezuelan oil development plans. Chevron has committed to investing more than $7 billion over five years and plans to more than double its production in Venezuela to about 600,000 barrels per day. Eni, Geopark and Continental Resources are also among the companies pursuing new projects or expansion plans. Research firm Rystad Energy estimates that Venezuela’s oil production could reach 1.6 million barrels per day by 2028 and 1.8 million barrels per day by 2030. But achieving that goal will require much more equipment and infrastructure. As of August, Venezuela had only two active drilling rigs. However, Rystad Energy estimates that about 50 rigs will be needed by 2028 and nearly 80 rigs by 2030 to maintain current production trends. The export sector is also facing its own challenges, according to Oil Price. Traders are demanding more discounts to offset high transportation costs, and congestion at ports has also caused several months of delays in shipping shipments. @YjcNewsChannel
Venezuela surpasses 1.2 million barrels of oil per day and strengthens economic growth Oil production has exceeded the 1.2 million barrel per day mark, driving sustained growth in Gross Domestic Product (GDP) and social recovery despite unilateral coercive measures against the nation. Learn more:
PDVSA reactivates its oil infrastructure with strategic alliances. The goal is to produce 1.3 million barrels per day this year and 1.5 million in 2027, announced Executive Vice President Jovanny Martínez. Share your opinion below #teleSUR #PDVSA #Venezuela #5Sep
PDVSA reactivates its oil infrastructure with strategic alliances. The goal is to produce 1.3 million barrels per day this year and 1.5 million in 2027, announced Executive Vice President Jovanny Martínez. Share your opinion below #teleSUR #PDVSA #Venezuela #5Sep
1.2mCBS Reporter91%match
During a news conference after the signing ceremony, Sec. Wright was asked about the analysis that it could take years to develop the oil fields. He argued progress in Venezuela is ahead of schedule and predicted significant progress in 1 to 2 years. • • "In just the eight months that we've been in close partnership, Venezuelan production has grown by 25%," said Wright. • • "I'm confident in the next 12 to 24 months, the progress here and the progress Americans will feel will be tremendous."
1.2mArgus Reporter95%match72¢-24%
NEW: On #Venezuela’s oil production US @SecretaryWright told @CNBC, "today, it's over 1.2mn b/d. I think we'll be well over 1.5mn b/d by the first half of next year — and Venezuelan production will be over 2mn b/d by the end of this decade." #oott
.@SecretaryWright on Venezuelan oil production: "Today, it's over 1.2 million barrels/day. I think we'll be well over 1.5 million barrels/day by the first half of next year — and Venezuelan production will be over 2 million barrels/day by the end of this decade."
1.5miranintlbrk96%match5¢+140%
Rodriguez: An agreement with the United States has been reached with the aim of increasing Venezuelan oil production to 1.5 million barrels per day.
Venezuela's oil production surpassed 1.23 million barrels per day, its highest level since February 2019, reported acting president Delcy Rodríguez. Fifty new gas and oil agreements with private and international investment have been signed. The exchange rate gap has narrowed from 30% to 12.3%, and ECLAC projects GDP growth of 6.5% in 2026. What do you think of this progress? Tell us in the comments. #Venezuela #Oil #LatinEnergy #teleSUR #Aug26
1.2mwam.ae93%match67¢-18%
Venezuelan oil production rises to its highest level since 2019
1.2mAsharq98%match64¢-14%
Venezuela's state oil company: Crude production could reach approximately 1.245 million barrels per day by the end of this month.
Entérate de lo más destacado de la entrevista del presidente de PDVSA, Héctor Obregón en VTV. Informó que actualmente la producción diaria de petróleo se ubica en 1.233.000 barriles. Detalló que en la reforma de la Ley Orgánica de Hidrocarburos se incorporaron nuevas figuras contractuales, tales como las Alianzas Técnicas Financieras, las Alianzas de Servicios y los CPP. Enfatizó que el objetivo estratégico actual es «dejar de ser solo la mayor reserva del mundo (303.000 millones de barriles) para convertirse en el mayor productor». Sostuvo que la seguridad jurídica y la existencia de reglas claras son elementos fundamentales para atraer capitales e inversiones al país. Subrayó la reciente emisión del Reglamento de la Ley de Hidrocarburos, destacando que el país acumulaba 83 años sin un reglamento que normara la ley del sector. Explicó que la elaboración del reglamento fue un trabajo conjunto entre el Ministerio de Hidrocarburos y las mesas técnicas de PDVSA, tras la promulgación de la reforma por parte de la Asamblea Nacional y la presidenta Delcy Rodríguez. Añadió que el reglamento permite aterrizar y desarrollar la aplicación práctica y diaria de la ley, definiendo claramente cómo operará el sector; brindando un terreno claro a inversionistas nacionales e internacionales. Señaló que desde 2023 la industria emprendió un proceso de reforma impulsando nuevos modelos de negocios y metodologías operacionales. Resaltó la recuperación de la capacidad del sistema de refinación de PDVSA, alcanzando actualmente los 350.000 barriles diarios. Indicó que el suministro de combustible del país se sostiene a través de más de 1.600 estaciones de servicio en todo el territorio nacional, abastecidas diariamente. Destacó la implementación del Contrato de Participación Productiva en Hidrocarburos (CPP) a partir de abril de 2024, un esquema de alianza con sectores privados que ha generado importantes rendimientos. Ejemplificó el éxito de estas alianzas estratégicas con el Campo Zamora, el cual incrementó su producción de 20.000 a más de 100.000 barriles diarios en distintos hitos operativos. Indicó que por primera vez en años no se requirió importar combustible en 2025 ni en lo que va de 2026, logrando satisfacer la demanda interna de gasolina y diésel mediante producción nacional. Mencionó la incorporación al mercado de un nuevo producto de alto octanaje, la gasolina "Super Premium", como parte del proceso de diversificación y mejora tras la recuperación del parque de refinación. Resaltó que tras más de 100 años de trayectoria petrolera, Venezuela busca ingresar con fuerza en el negocio gasífero global. Enfatizó que esta nueva etapa es posible gracias a la experiencia, pericia y antigüedad de la fuerza laboral, conformada por más de 89.000 trabajadores. Valoró el impulso otorgado a la Universidad de los Hidrocarburos para la actualización y profesionalización continua de los trabajadores. Anunció la creación del "Taladro Escuela", ubicado en la Faja Petrolífera del Orinoco, concebido como un espacio de formación práctica directamente en campo. Concluyó que el objetivo central de esta iniciativa es contar con personal altamente capacitado y actualizado bajo los más rigurosos estándares de seguridad operacional. Caracas.- 13 de agosto de 2026 [in reply to: [image only]]
1.2margusmedia.com92%match51¢+8%
Venezuela's July oil production at 1.2mn b/d
1.5mWalter Bloomberg91%match95¢-7%
VENEZUELA OIL EXPORTS HIT FIVE-MONTH LOW • • Venezuela's crude exports fell 25% in July to 856,000 bpd, the lowest level in five months. • • The decline was driven by weaker demand from India, where imports halved as Middle Eastern oil supplies recovered following a pause in the Iran conflict. • • The U.S. and India remained Venezuela's largest buyers, while China has not imported Venezuelan crude since the removal of Nicolás Maduro from power earlier this year.
Analyst predicts double-digit growth in Venezuelan GDP by year's end. Oil production has increased from 942,000 to over 1.23 million barrels per day. Highlights include dialogue with the IMF and UN, and the Amnesty Law benefiting over 8,000 people. #teleSUR #Venezuela #Economy #29Jul
Analyst predicts double-digit growth in Venezuelan GDP by year's end. Oil production has increased from 942,000 to over 1.23 million barrels per day. Highlights include dialogue with the IMF and UN, and the Amnesty Law benefiting over 8,000 people. #teleSUR #Venezuela #Economy #29Jul
Venezuelan oil production grew 30% in 2026, surpassing one million barrels per day. Analyst Germán Márquez projects it could reach 1.4 million barrels per day by year's end if investment conditions remain favorable. #Venezuela #Oil #teleSUR #July27
Venezuelan oil production grew 30% in 2026, surpassing one million barrels per day. Analyst Germán Márquez projects it could reach 1.4 million barrels per day by year's end if investment conditions remain favorable. #Venezuela #Oil #teleSUR #July27
Venezuela is negotiating 30 hydrocarbon agreements, announced Delcy Rodríguez. Daily production: 1.2 million barrels. Year-end target: 1.4 million. "2027 will be a year of great growth," she projected. #Venezuela #Oil #teleSUR
Venezuela is negotiating 30 hydrocarbon agreements, announced Delcy Rodríguez. Daily production: 1.2 million barrels. Year-end target: 1.4 million. "2027 will be a year of great growth," she projected. #Venezuela #Oil #teleSUR
Venezuela is negotiating 30 hydrocarbon agreements, announced Delcy Rodríguez. Daily production: 1.2 million barrels. Year-end target: 1.4 million. "2027 will be a year of great growth," she projected. #Venezuela #Oil #teleSUR
Venezuela is negotiating 30 hydrocarbon agreements, announced Delcy Rodríguez. Daily production: 1.2 million barrels. Year-end target: 1.4 million. "2027 will be a year of great growth," she projected. #Venezuela #Oil #teleSUR
Delcy Rodríguez promised that revenues from new investments would be transparent to the public. Crude oil production: 1.2 million barrels per day. Food consumption grew almost 10% in May. Dialogue with the opposition: "when they lift the last sanction." #Venezuela #DelcyRodríguez #PDVSA #teleSUR
Delcy Rodríguez promised that revenues from new investments would be transparent to the public. Crude oil production: 1.2 million barrels per day. Food consumption grew almost 10% in May. Dialogue with the opposition: "when they lift the last sanction." #Venezuela #DelcyRodríguez #PDVSA #teleSUR
1.1mAsharq98%match79¢+27%
Venezuela's interim president: Oil production will reach 1.4 million barrels per day by the end of the year
1.3mAsharq97%match39¢-59%
Venezuela's interim president: Oil production will reach 1.4 million barrels per day by the end of the year
1.4mAsharq98%match13¢-23%
Venezuela's interim president: Oil production will reach 1.4 million barrels per day by the end of the year
1.2malhadath99%match32¢+41%
The death toll from the Venezuelan earthquakes has risen to 2,295, with 11,267 injured.
2malhadath99%match97¢-1%
The death toll from the Venezuelan earthquakes has risen to 2,295, with 11,267 injured.

What is this event about?

This market will resolve to “Yes”, if Venezuelan crude oil production is greater than or equal to the listed number of barrels per day for any month in 2026, according to the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report published for each month. The resolution source for this market will be the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, published each month in reference to the previous month at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 5-7 DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d” under the column for the relevant month and the “Venezuela” row. This market will resolve as soon as Venezuelan crude oil production is reported to be greater than or equal to the listed number. If the listed number has not been reached for any month by the release of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 (expected to be released in January 2027), this market will resolve to “No”. If no Opec Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 has been published by February 28, 2027, ET and the listed number has not been reached for any prior month, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market reports crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.

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