Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?

OpenOutcomes1as of

Market pricing makes Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026? the favorite at 12%, as of .

What are the odds right now?

Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.

What moved the odds?

21 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s latest price as of .

NOalhadath92%match90¢-2%
US President Donald Trump: Venezuela is not yet ready to hold elections... but we have made great progress, and the Delcy administration is doing a fantastic job... and major US oil companies are preparing to invest there.
NOalarabiya92%match91¢-3%
US President Donald Trump: Venezuela is not yet ready to hold elections... but we have made great progress, and the Delcy administration is doing a fantastic job... and major US oil companies are preparing to invest there.
NOwelt.de99%match80¢+10%
Jetzt will Nobelpreisträgerin Machado sich nicht mehr von Trump kaltstellen lassen
YESnytimes.com99%match19¢-37%
Trump’s tells María Corina Machado, Venezuela’s opposition leader, not to go home.
NOReuters99%match81¢+9%
Trump says he will visit Venezuela after 'very good' relationship with interim president
YESReuters98%match20¢-40%
Machado ally is kidnapped in Venezuela hours after prison release, son says
NOPOLITICO98%match80¢+10%
SCOOP with @diana_nerozzi: White House advisers and people close to the administration are growing frustrated with Venezuelan opposition leader María Corina Machado, viewing her recent remarks about when elections could be held as potentially undermining their work in Venezuela.
YESBreaking91199%match21¢-43%
Venezuelan opposition leader María Corina Machado said she believes President Trump supports her, and reiterates she gave the president her Nobel Peace Prize medallion as “a matter of what's in the superior interest” of her home country.
YESFinancialJuice99%match21¢-43%
Venezuela's Machado: Trump and Rubio back Venezuela's democratic transition
YESReuters99%match23¢-48%
Trump considers role in Venezuela for Machado
YESReuters99%match23¢-48%
Venezuelan opposition leader Maria Corina Machado said Venezuela ‘will be free’ following her meeting with US lawmakers. Meanwhile in a separate development, President Trump said he was considering a role for Machado in her country, but didn't specify further
YESReuters99%match22¢-45%
President Trump said he was considering involving Venezuelan opposition leader Maria Corina Machado in some capacity in her country, but did not say what role she could play
YESAcyn99%match21¢-43%
Trump on Machado and Venezuela: An unbelievably nice woman did a very incredible thing…maybe we can get her involved in some way. I'd love to be able to do that..
YESFirst Squawk99%match21¢-43%
TRUMP SAYS MARIA MACHADO COULD BE INVOLVED “IN SOME WAY” IN VENEZUELA
YESCGTN Europe99%match21¢-43%
TRUMP: MAYBE WE CAN SEE MARIA MACHADO INVOLVED IN 'SOME WAY' IN VENEZUELA
YESCGTN America99%match21¢-43%
TRUMP: MAYBE WE CAN MARIA MACHADO INVOLVED IN 'SOME WAY' IN VENEZUELA
YESCGTN Europe99%match21¢-43%
Trump: maybe we can get Machado involved somehow in Venezuela
YESReuters99%match17¢-29%
Trump says he will meet with Venezuela's Machado next week
YESAxios99%match16¢-25%
Trump says he'll meet with Venezuelan opposition leader Machado next week
YESBloomberg99%match16¢-25%
President Trump says he plans to meet with Venezuelan opposition leader and Nobel Peace Prize recipient María Corina Machado as soon as next week, as he weighs the future governance of the nation
YESBloomberg99%match16¢-25%
Venezuela released a close ally of opposition leader María Corina Machado, a gesture of the interim government’s cooperation with the Trump administration

What is this event about?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly endorses or suggests María Corina Machado as Venezuelan state leader or president by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Donald Trump announces that he would prefer or endorses another individual, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Trump's endorsement.

Related events