Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?
Open$114Kas of
Odds now
The market prices a 12% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES12¢
NO88¢
as of
What moved the odds?
8 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
US President Donald Trump: Venezuela is not yet ready to hold elections... but we have made great progress, and the Delcy administration is doing a fantastic job... and major US oil companies are preparing to invest there.
US President Donald Trump: Venezuela is not yet ready to hold elections... but we have made great progress, and the Delcy administration is doing a fantastic job... and major US oil companies are preparing to invest there.
NOReuters99%match81¢+9%
Trump says he will visit Venezuela after 'very good' relationship with interim president
NOPOLITICO98%match80¢+10%
SCOOP with @diana_nerozzi: White House advisers and people close to the administration are growing frustrated with Venezuelan opposition leader María Corina Machado, viewing her recent remarks about when elections could be held as potentially undermining their work in Venezuela.
YESReuters99%match23¢-48%
Trump considers role in Venezuela for Machado
YESReuters99%match23¢-48%
Venezuelan opposition leader Maria Corina Machado said Venezuela ‘will be free’ following her meeting with US lawmakers. Meanwhile in a separate development, President Trump said he was considering a role for Machado in her country, but didn't specify further
YESAxios99%match16¢-25%
Trump says he'll meet with Venezuelan opposition leader Machado next week
YESBloomberg99%match16¢-25%
President Trump says he plans to meet with Venezuelan opposition leader and Nobel Peace Prize recipient María Corina Machado as soon as next week, as he weighs the future governance of the nation
Where does the news lean?
16YES5NO10neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 97%.
What would make this resolve YES?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly endorses or suggests María Corina Machado as Venezuelan state leader or president by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Donald Trump announces that he would prefer or endorses another individual, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Trump's endorsement.