When will Tim Walz resign?

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Market pricing makes December 31 the favorite at 5% across 4 tracked outcomes, as of .

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Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.

What moved the odds?

21 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s latest price as of .

December 31Overton99%match28¢-82%
[Replying to @overton_news] Will Minnesota Governor Tim Walz be out of office before his term ends in 2027? [Include reasoning in replies] > Things keep getting WORSE for Walz. Tim Pool reveals that Kalshi users have already wagered a staggering $1.3 MILLION on disgraced Governor Tim Walz being out of office before his term ends. “The reason why this matters, his term ends January of 2027.”
December 31Breaking91198%match22¢-77%
VP VANCE CALLS FOR TIM WALZ TO RESIGN.
January 31Breaking91199%match2¢-100%
VP VANCE CALLS FOR TIM WALZ TO RESIGN.
June 30Breaking91198%match18¢-100%
VP VANCE CALLS FOR TIM WALZ TO RESIGN.
January 31Leading Report98%match2¢-100%
BREAKING: Gov. Tim Walz will likely be handcuffed if he refuses to resign, says Minnesota Rep. Tom Emmer.
December 31BBC News (World)99%match78¢+22%
Minnesota Governor Tim Walz says he will not seek re-election
January 31BBC News (World)99%match96¢+4%
Minnesota Governor Tim Walz says he will not seek re-election
December 31Leading Report99%match78¢+22%
BREAKING: Tim Walz has officially dropped out of the 2026 governors race.
December 31Breaking91198%match78¢+22%
FOX NEWS: Tim Walz will not seek reelection as governor of Minnesota.
December 31Breaking91199%match78¢+22%
Tim Walz officially announces he will not seek reelection in 2026.
December 31CNN Politics99%match78¢+22%
Minnesota Gov. Tim Walz announces he won't seek reelection to a third term as scrutiny grows over a welfare-fraud scandal in his state
December 31Bloomberg99%match78¢+22%
Minnesota Governor Tim Walz said he won’t see re-election after a scandal involving alleged fraud in state programs
December 31The Associated Press99%match78¢+22%
BREAKING: Tim Walz, the Democrats' 2024 vice presidential candidate, says he will not run for a third term as Minnesota governor.
December 31BNO News99%match78¢+22%
BREAKING: Minnesota Governor Tim Walz announces he won't run for re-election - AP
January 31BNO News98%match94¢+6%
BREAKING: Minnesota Governor Tim Walz announces he won't run for re-election - AP
December 31CGTN America99%match78¢+22%
Tim Walz, Democrats' 2024 vice presidential candidate, says he will not run for a third term as Minnesota governor
December 31CGTN Europe99%match78¢+22%
Minnesota Governor Tim Walz officially announces that he will not seek re-election in 2026. He will complete his term. - reports
December 31Axios98%match78¢+22%
BREAKING: Minnesota Gov. Tim Walz drops reelection bid
December 31zerohedge99%match87¢+9%
BREAKING: Tim Walz to make an announcement TOMORROW in regards to his political future. Speculation is saying he will likely withdraw from the governors race.
January 31zerohedge99%match2¢-100%
BREAKING: Tim Walz to make an announcement TOMORROW in regards to his political future. Speculation is saying he will likely withdraw from the governors race.
June 30zerohedge99%match90¢+11%
BREAKING: Tim Walz to make an announcement TOMORROW in regards to his political future. Speculation is saying he will likely withdraw from the governors race.

What is this event about?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tim Walz announces he has resigned or will resign as Governor of Minnesota by the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If it becomes impossible for Tim Walz to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No." For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Tim Walz announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government or the government of Minnesota; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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