When will Tim Walz resign?December 31

OpenVol$63KDeadlineas of

Odds now

The market prices a 5% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .

YES5¢
NO95¢

24has of

What moved the odds?

11 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .

YESOverton99%match28¢-82%
[Replying to @overton_news] Will Minnesota Governor Tim Walz be out of office before his term ends in 2027? [Include reasoning in replies] > Things keep getting WORSE for Walz. Tim Pool reveals that Kalshi users have already wagered a staggering $1.3 MILLION on disgraced Governor Tim Walz being out of office before his term ends. “The reason why this matters, his term ends January of 2027.”
YESBreaking91198%match22¢-77%
VP VANCE CALLS FOR TIM WALZ TO RESIGN.
NOBBC News (World)99%match78¢+22%
Minnesota Governor Tim Walz says he will not seek re-election
NOBreaking91198%match78¢+22%
FOX NEWS: Tim Walz will not seek reelection as governor of Minnesota.
NOBreaking91199%match78¢+22%
Tim Walz officially announces he will not seek reelection in 2026.
NOThe Associated Press99%match78¢+22%
BREAKING: Tim Walz, the Democrats' 2024 vice presidential candidate, says he will not run for a third term as Minnesota governor.
NOBNO News99%match78¢+22%
BREAKING: Minnesota Governor Tim Walz announces he won't run for re-election - AP
NOCGTN America99%match78¢+22%
Tim Walz, Democrats' 2024 vice presidential candidate, says he will not run for a third term as Minnesota governor
NOCGTN Europe99%match78¢+22%
Minnesota Governor Tim Walz officially announces that he will not seek re-election in 2026. He will complete his term. - reports
NOAxios98%match78¢+22%
BREAKING: Minnesota Gov. Tim Walz drops reelection bid
NOzerohedge99%match87¢+9%
BREAKING: Tim Walz to make an announcement TOMORROW in regards to his political future. Speculation is saying he will likely withdraw from the governors race.

Where does the news lean?

2YES12NO4neutraltrailing 24h

Average match confidence across the listed signals: 99%.

What would make this resolve YES?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tim Walz announces he has resigned or will resign as Governor of Minnesota by the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If it becomes impossible for Tim Walz to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No." For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Tim Walz announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government or the government of Minnesota; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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