When will Hamas agree to disarm?
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Market pricing makes December 31, 2026 the favorite at 21% across 6 tracked outcomes, as of .
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Hamas agreed to lay down its arms and hand over control of the Gaza Strip A new stage has been outlined in the implementation of the peace plan for the Gaza Strip, reports Kazinform's own Middle East correspondent Arsen Uteshev All power will transfer to the National Gaza Governance Committee, recognized by the UN. This temporary body, consisting of independent Palestinian experts, will assume both civilian and security control. The plan calls for a phased withdrawal of Israeli troops after the disarmament of Hamas and the deployment of an international stabilization force. However, the parties disagree on the procedure: Hamas demands reciprocal steps, while Israel demands complete disarmament before the withdrawal of troops.
Hamas acceptance of disarmament was meant to trigger 14-day period during which timeline crafted for phased disarmament & IDF withdrawal. • • But that 2-week period has yet to commence, w/ little optimism for progress or flexibility from Netanyahu as Oct 27 elex approach. (6/17)
UN Special Coordinator for the Middle East Peace Process, Nikolay Mladenov: Hamas and armed factions in Gaza have agreed for the first time to hand over their weapons and transfer full governing powers to a UN-recognized Palestinian transitional administration. The roadmap includes the disarmament of all categories of weapons in Gaza, without gray areas or exempted categories. The Israeli withdrawal from Gaza will be phased after verification of the disarmament steps, according to a "sequential and reciprocal" mechanism. The plan stipulates that the "National Committee for the Administration of Gaza" will manage the Strip during the transitional phase.
Nikolai Mladenov updated the Security Council today: Hamas has agreed to a 15-point roadmap, which includes the transfer of civilian and security powers in Gaza and a gradual and supervised disarmament. The main dispute remains over the order of implementation - Israel demands full disarmament before any further significant withdrawal, while the outline links gradual disarmament to a gradual withdrawal of the IDF. Talks on implementation are continuing, but so far without a breakthrough. Mladenov warned that a return to war could lead to "a point of no return for everyone."
Live from Al Arabiya | The 60-day US-Iranian deadline under the memorandum of understanding expires tonight... and Kushner, after meeting Netanyahu: Hamas will be disarmed within 3 months.
Sources in the Peace Council, at the end of the extended meeting with Netanyahu: It was agreed that the IDF will not redeploy in Gaza until Hamas completely disarms and the entire Strip is demilitarized - of all light and heavy weapons and all tunnels. According to them, Hamas has committed to complete disarmament and an immediate cessation of all military activity, including rearming and digging tunnels. Israel will retain its full right to act if Hamas returns to terror, violence or attempts to rearm. It was also agreed to immediately establish two joint working teams for Israel and the Peace Council - for disarmament and security, and for civilian needs in the Strip.
A source in the Peace Council: The Peace Council informed the Prime Minister that Hamas has committed to fully disarm and immediately cease all military activity in the Gaza Strip, including rearming and digging tunnels. The Prime Minister confirmed that Israel will meet its previous commitments that remained on the table, which helped the United States secure the release of all the hostages – alive and, unfortunately, the bodies of the fallen. The Prime Minister and the Peace Council held in-depth and constructive discussions regarding the way forward for the full implementation of President Trump’s 20-point peace plan. It was agreed that there will be no redeployment of IDF forces from the Gaza Strip until Hamas is fully disarmed and the entire territory of the Strip is demilitarized – all weapons, light and heavy, and all tunnels. Any weapons collected will be fully decommissioned so that they cannot be reused. Israel reserves its full right to self-defense: If Hamas turns to terrorism, violence, or attempts to rearm, Israel reserves the right to act accordingly. With the backing of President Trump, the parties share clear goals: a completely demilitarized and free Gaza Strip Radicalization, which does not pose a threat to Israel, and in which the residents of Gaza will be able to work for prosperity and dignity through peace.
More from a Board of Peace official: • • It was agreed that there will be no IDF redeployment from Gaza until Hamas is fully disarmed and all of Gaza is demilitarized - every weapon, light and heavy, and every tunnel. Every weapon collected will be fully decommissioned so it cannot be used again. Israel retains its full right of self-defense: if Hamas resorts to terror, violence, or attempts to rearm, Israel will retain the right to act accordingly. • • The Board of Peace informed the Prime Minister that Hamas has committed to fully disarm and to cease immediately all military activity in Gaza, including rearmament and tunnel digging. The Prime Minister affirmed that Israel will honor its outstanding past commitments that helped the United States secure the release of all hostages - the living and, sadly, the bodies of the dead. • • To ensure close collaboration, the parties agreed to immediately establish two joint working groups: one on security and the demilitarization of Gaza, which both Israel and the Board of Peace are determined shall be complete and prompt; and a second on basic needs, sanitation, clean water, and other public health issues for the people of Gaza. • • Backed by President Trump, the parties share clear goals: a fully demilitarized and deradicalized Gaza that poses no threat to Israel, and where Gazans can pursue prosperity and dignity peacefully.
A senior Israeli official said that Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu told US envoy Jared Kushner that Israel would not withdraw any of its forces from Gaza and would not allow reconstruction to begin until Hamas is fully disarmed, CNN reported. Netanyahu and Kushner also agreed that a US general would oversee the process of removing Hamas weapons from operational use, the official said. According to the report, Hamas has refused to disarm unless the move coincides with an end to Israel's near-daily attacks on Gaza and the start of a withdrawal of Israeli forces, which currently occupy more than half of the territory. Nikolai Mladenov, the director of the Peace Mission, and Tony Blair, former British Prime Minister, also attended the meeting. According to Netanyahu's official office report of the meeting, attendees agreed to form working groups on disarmament, as well as issues related to sanitation, clean water, and public health.
Trump: Hamas has agreed to disarm... We have several channels of communication with the movement US President Donald Trump announces that Hamas has agreed to disarm, confirming that Washington has several channels of communication US envoy Jared Kushner met with Hamas leaders in Egypt before heading to Israel to meet with Netanyahu Hamas agreed last July to a US roadmap aimed at launching the second phase of the peace plan, which stipulates the disarmament of the movement and Israel's withdrawal from the Gaza Strip #From_the_Event
Trump: Hamas has agreed to disarm... We have several channels of communication with the movement. ====== Trump announces Hamas's agreement to disarm, confirming that Washington has several channels of communication with the movement. US envoy Jared Kushner had met with Hamas leaders in Egypt before heading to Israel. Hamas agreed last July to a US roadmap aimed at launching the second phase of the peace plan, which stipulates the disarmament of the movement and Israel's withdrawal from the Gaza Strip. From Al Arabiya
Trump: Hamas has agreed to give up its weapons
Trump: Hamas has agreed to give up its weapons
2/ The official said "Hamas needs to start disarming" and "stop military activities...no one is going to invest money and materials aren’t going to go into areas where Hamas remains in power and militarized." US wants Hamas to give control to a new committee. Hamas said ok.
Hamas leaders confirmed their readiness to disarm and demilitarize the Gaza Strip at a meeting in Egypt with US President Jared Kushner, his son-in-law, Axios reports. Representatives of the movement also declared their readiness to hand over governance of Gaza to a Palestinian technocratic government and asked Kushner to convey this position to Donald Trump. In response, Kushner demanded that Hamas take concrete steps toward disarmament, emphasizing that Israel does not trust the movement's promises. At the same time, Hamas stated that it is ready to begin disarmament only after Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu publicly confirms his readiness to comply with the terms of the plan. More IZ RU news in MAX
"Roadmap" Agreement: Saudi TV channel "Asharq" reported from a Hamas source that at a meeting held in Egypt, the organization's delegation stressed to the Americans its commitment to the agreement. Another source also said that Hamas approved Kushner's demand on the issue of disarming the Gaza Strip. @LiranHaroni
New: Hamas leaders reaffirmed their commitment to disarm and demilitarize Gaza in a meeting with President Trump's adviser Jared Kushner in Egypt on Sunday, according to a source with direct knowledge. My story on @axios •
Hamas leaders reaffirmed their commitment to disarmament and demilitarization of the Gaza Strip in a meeting with President Trump's adviser, Jared Kushner, in Egypt on Sunday, according to a source familiar with the meeting.
The source said the meeting, which lasted 90 minutes, was "very productive" and aimed at ensuring that Hamas is committed to taking practical steps to demilitarize Gaza.
"They confirmed that they are committed and wanted to convey to President Trump that they are committed. We thanked them for the commitment, but we want to see real efforts and not just words," the source said. "It was important for Kushner to receive this commitment from them in person."
Hamas leaders expressed to Kushner frustration with Israeli policy in Gaza, including the continued attacks. “Kushner reminded them that it took them four months to agree to disarm,” the source said.
Kushner told Hamas leaders that they must take concrete steps if they want Israel to take steps on its part.
“Kushner emphasized to Hamas leaders that the bar is high, because the Israeli side does not believe that they will actually disarm. Kushner told them that there is no room for negotiation on the actual disarmament, but if they take concrete steps, the US will make sure that Israel meets its obligations,” the source said.
During the meeting, Hamas leaders said that they are ready to transfer civilian control in Gaza to the technocratic Palestinian government, once it is ready to begin operating in the Strip, and pledged not to interfere with its work.
During the meeting, Kushner thanked Hamas leaders for their cooperation and their efforts to return the bodies of all the Israeli hostages who died.
Hamas leaders thanked the Trump administration and the Peace Council for their efforts to improve the humanitarian situation in Gaza over the past few months
Kushner and his team also met with Egyptian President al-Sisi, and separately with members of the technocratic Palestinian government
Al-Sisi told Kushner that much of the instability in the region in recent years stemmed from the situation in Gaza. The Egyptian president stressed that stabilizing Gaza would also help stabilize the entire region, the source said
Sources told Sky News Arabia that Hamas confirmed its commitment to the 15-point agreement on Gaza, including the issue of the movement's weapons.
After months of negotiating, the terror group did just that on July 30. • The approved proposal for Hamas’s gradual disarmament requires Israel to “fully complete, w/o delay, all remaining commitments under 2025 truce,” which included an Israeli pull-back to Yellow Line. (12/31)
Briefing reporters hours after Hamas approved the disarmament proposal, a senior US official indicated that its implementation could begin immediately because approval from Israel wasn’t even necessary to move forward. (3/31)
The US-controlled Board of Peace accomplished what many observers thought was impossible until just two weeks ago, when it coaxed Hamas to accept a proposal that envisions the terror group handing over all of its weapons. (2/31)
CAIRO (AP) — Hamas said Friday that it will begin disarming as part of a deal announced by U.S. President Donald Trump that also requires Israel to end its strikes and withdraw from Gaza.
Hamas agrees to Trump’s plan to disarm in Gaza – The Latest
Hamas agrees to disarm under Trump plan
Hamas states in official statement on disarmament agreement: "Conditions include a cessation of Israeli military attacks and withdrawal from Gaza."
Hamas agrees to disarm: what are the challenges ahead?
Hamas has for agreed to hand over its weapons, subject to Israel upholding its end of the deal. • Hamas official Ghazi Hamad tells me: "We will not begin any weapons-related steps until Israel implements these commitments." • No comment from Israel so far
Hamas: We will only hand over our weapons if Israel withdraws While Trump claimed that Hamas and other Palestinian groups have agreed to "complete disarmament," Ghazi Hamad, a senior Hamas official, told Reuters that Hamas would only agree to hand over its weapons if Israel first fulfills its obligations.
According to him, Israel must end its attacks on Gaza, return its forces to the positions they were in before October, and also increase the flow of goods and aid to the region @IRIBNEWS_COM
Hamas We agreed to discuss including the issue of heavy weapons within the framework of the second phase of the agreement, but only subject to a cessation of hostilities, a complete withdrawal of Israel from the Gaza Strip, the entry of an administrative committee and an international protection force, the disbandment of the armed militias, and the reconstruction of Gaza.
What is this event about?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hamas officially announces it will disarm in the Gaza Strip by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only credible announcements, for example by the widely acknowledged leadership of Hamas, will qualify.
For the purposes of this market, "disarm" refers to a public commitment to relinquish or dismantle its military, whether partially or completely, in the Gaza Strip.
Announcements of partial disarmament (e.g., surrendering a class of weapons or agreeing to disarm in stages or a certain region) will qualify as long as it is part of an acknowledged disarmament process.
Only official announcements will qualify. Informal statements, plans contingent on future conditions, statements of intent without a formal policy directive, or any other statements that do not constitute a formal policy announcement will not be considered.
Primary resolution sources will include official statements from Hamas leadership; however, a wide consensus of credible reporting confirming a policy of disarmament has been instituted will also qualify.