Who will be Trump's AI "czar" in 2026?
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Market pricing makes Jay Clayton the favorite at 85% across 34 tracked outcomes, as of .
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Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.
What moved the odds?
6 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s latest price as of .
The White House has created a "Super Intelligence Force" task force, headed by Director of National Intelligence Jay Clayton, to establish American leadership in artificial intelligence. The team, which includes senior administration officials and outside consultants, will submit a report within 120 days on the risks of the technology and government accountability while avoiding regulation that would stifle innovation. @RamEliBrandts
Report: Trump has formed a team to review AI, which will submit recommendations within 120 days
Trump taps Director of National Intelligence Jay Clayton as AI czar: WSJ reports
Trump taps Director of National Intelligence Jay Clayton as AI czar: WSJ reports
Trump taps Director of National Intelligence Jay Clayton as AI czar: WSJ reports
Trump taps Director of National Intelligence Jay Clayton as AI czar: WSJ reports
What is this event about?
This market will resolve according to the first individual Donald Trump announces as his pick to be AI czar.
An announcement from Donald Trump or the Trump administration stating their intent to appoint a specific individual as AI czar will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether a formal appointment actually occurs.
Qualifying announcements must explicitly present the relevant individual as the AI czar or future AI czar. Announcements of acting or interim appointments, or announcements which merely reveal potential candidates, will not qualify. Media reports, speculation, or other unofficial information will not qualify.
An announcement will qualify regardless of the name used to refer to AI, including "super intelligence" (SI). However, the person must be announced as the "czar" or a derivative thereof.
If Donald Trump does not announce his pick for AI czar by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Czar by December 31”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump and the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.