Who will be Trump's AI "czar" in 2026?No Czar by December 31

OpenVol$2KDeadlineas of

Odds now

The market prices a 13% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .

YES13¢
NO87¢

24h-11 ptsas of

What moved the odds?

3 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .

YESynet.co.il94%match11¢+18%
Report: Trump has formed a team to review AI, which will submit recommendations within 120 days
NOcnbc95%match89¢-2%
Trump taps Director of National Intelligence Jay Clayton as AI czar: WSJ reports
NOcnbc.com95%match89¢-2%
Trump taps Director of National Intelligence Jay Clayton as AI czar: WSJ reports

Where does the news lean?

1YES2NO0neutraltrailing 24h

Signal flow leans NO at 63% — signal sentiment, not the market price. Average match confidence across the listed signals: 95%.

What would make this resolve YES?

This market will resolve according to the first individual Donald Trump announces as his pick to be AI czar. An announcement from Donald Trump or the Trump administration stating their intent to appoint a specific individual as AI czar will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether a formal appointment actually occurs. Qualifying announcements must explicitly present the relevant individual as the AI czar or future AI czar. Announcements of acting or interim appointments, or announcements which merely reveal potential candidates, will not qualify. Media reports, speculation, or other unofficial information will not qualify. An announcement will qualify regardless of the name used to refer to AI, including "super intelligence" (SI). However, the person must be announced as the "czar" or a derivative thereof. If Donald Trump does not announce his pick for AI czar by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Czar by December 31”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump and the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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