US military action against Cuba

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Market pricing makes December 31 the favorite at 14% across 3 tracked outcomes, as of .

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Trump backed away from the option of attacking Cuba? While there has been speculation in recent weeks about the possibility of the Trump administration taking military action against Cuba and attempting to change the country's regime, Bloomberg reported, citing informed sources, that Washington has currently replaced military action with economic pressure. This change in approach comes amid reports of the erosion of America's weapons and logistical capabilities after the war with Iran. Bloomberg wrote that Trump's previous plan for military action against Cuba has largely lost its credibility as the Iran war has dragged on. @Farsna - Link [in reply to: US Secretary of War's explicit threat: Military attack on Cuba is on the table Pete Hexath: If Cuba does not proceed in accordance with America's will, we will use the military option against the country. @Farsna - [Link]
Trump backs off attack on Cuba! While some reports suggested that the Trump administration might take military action to change the Cuban regime, the erosion of America's military and logistical capabilities in the Iran war has apparently forced the White House to focus on sanctions against Havana instead of an attack. However, it is unclear whether the new strategy towards Cuba can lead to any progress after more than half a century of controversial economic sanctions. @TasnimNews [in reply to: US Secretary of War: Military attack on Cuba is on the table US Secretary of War: If Cuba does not proceed in accordance with Washington's will, we will use the military option against this country. As I have said before and I think you have seen what happened in other cases, all options are on the table, including military options. @TasnimNews]
US Secretary of War: Military attack on Cuba is on the table US Secretary of War: If Cuba does not comply with Washington's will, we will use the military option against this country. As I have said before and I think you have seen what happened in other cases, all options are on the table, including military options. @TasnimNews
December 31alhadath92%match31¢-55%
Military leaks reveal US plans to attack Cuba; a "lightning" airborne operation tops Washington's options.
December 31ibtimes.com93%match32¢-56%
Cuba's Economy Teeters On The Brink. U.S. Officials Are Reportedly Looking At Military Options. • Top U.S. officials are evaluating different options for possible military action against Cuba as the country teeters on the brink of collapse, according to a new report.
December 31Iranian Media91%match32¢-56%
America is preparing to attack Cuba CBS reported, citing American officials, that the Pentagon is preparing for a military attack and ground invasion of Cuba. The report states: Military strategists have been examining a wide range of possible actions against the island (Cuba) in recent weeks, including an army air strike involving thousands of American soldiers and carried out by the 101st Airborne Division. nournews.ir @Nournews_IR [in reply to: Cracks in the White House; Trump under siege from the Iranian standoff and the threat to Cuba While the commotion in the Middle East fields is holding America's military capacity hostage, confidential reports from the Pentagon indicate a surprising scenario. CBS's revelation of the Cuban intervention plan has trapped Washington in a spiral of strategic failures and deep rifts between Trump and his military team over Operation "Epic Fury." Read the full text at the link below... @Nournews_ir]
December 31Iranian Media92%match32¢-56%
America is preparing to attack Cuba CBS News reported, citing American officials, that the Pentagon is preparing for a military attack and ground invasion of Cuba. The report states: Military strategists have been considering a wide range of possible actions against the island (Cuba) in recent weeks, including an army air strike involving thousands of American soldiers and carried out by the 101st Airborne Division. nournews.ir @Nournews_IR
December 31Iranian Media92%match32¢-56%
US is preparing to attack Cuba CBS Network reported, citing American officials, that the Pentagon is preparing for a military attack and ground invasion of Cuba. The report states: Military strategists have been considering a wide range of possible actions against the island (Cuba) in recent weeks, including an airstrike involving thousands of American soldiers and carried out by the 101st Airborne Division. @iribnews
US is preparing to attack Cuba The CBS network reported, citing American officials, that the Pentagon is preparing for a military attack and ground invasion of Cuba. The report states: Military strategists have been examining a wide range of possible actions against the island (Cuba) in recent weeks, including an army air strike involving thousands of American soldiers and carried out by the 101st Airborne Division. Get the latest news: Site | ETA | Yes | Rubika | Soroush Plus @snntv
The U.S. Department of Defense is reportedly studying military action plans against Cuba.
December 31Newswire99%match32¢-56%
U.S. military planners discuss possible military action against Cuba, including a 101st Airborne-led air assault involving thousands of troops. — CBS
December 31marketnews_feed98%match38¢-63%
BREAKING: US SENATE VOTES TO REJECT A RESOLUTION THAT WOULD BLOCK TRUMP FROM LAUNCHING A US MILITARY STRIKE ON CUBA, PER AP ...
December 31dbws.io99%match38¢-63%
US Senate blocks bid to prevent Trump from military action against Cuba
December 31axios99%match38¢-63%
Senate rejects curb on Trump military action in Cuba
December 31axios.com99%match38¢-63%
Senate rejects curb on Trump military action in Cuba
December 31telegraph.co.uk99%match34¢-59%
Cuba prepares for US military action
March 31telegraph.co.uk99%match3¢-100%
Cuba prepares for US military action
December 31thetimes.com98%match34¢-59%
Cuba preparing for potential US attack, minister says
December 31handelsblatt.com98%match66¢+30%
Kuba bereitet sich laut Vize-Außenminister auf US-Militäreinsatz vor
March 31handelsblatt.com98%match2¢-100%
Kuba bereitet sich laut Vize-Außenminister auf US-Militäreinsatz vor
December 31edition.cnn.com99%match38¢-63%
Sen. Booker says congressional inaction on war could pave way for operation in Cuba
March 31edition.cnn.com98%match3¢-100%
Sen. Booker says congressional inaction on war could pave way for operation in Cuba
December 31telegraph.co.uk98%match62¢+39%
Cuba holds talks with US to avoid ‘confrontation’
March 31telegraph.co.uk98%match96¢+4%
Cuba holds talks with US to avoid ‘confrontation’

What is this event about?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a US-initiated drone, missile, or air strike on the soil of Cuba is announced or credibly reported to have occurred by the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including FPV and ATGM strikes as well as cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by any United States operatives, including military forces, intelligence agencies, or other U.S. government operatives, that physically impact ground territory within the listed country. A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory (including rivers, lakes, ports, but excluding territorial sea) of the listed country counts. Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land territory or cause damage. Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, ground incursions, naval shelling, or cyberattacks will not qualify. Any strike occurring during this market’s timeframe that is claimed by either Donald Trump or the U.S. government will qualify. The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting. This market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.

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