Sudan civil war ceasefire
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Market pricing makes December 31, 2026 the favorite at 10% across 4 tracked outcomes, as of .
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Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.
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30 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s latest price as of .
An immediate 90-day ceasefire and the establishment of a coordination committee to oversee it... Al-Arabiya sources: The Sudanese government agrees to 5 points of the American proposal but has reservations about the military redeployment.
Sudan army says US peace plan must call for full RSF withdrawal from cities, documents show
#Live | #Latest | Trump threatens to bomb Iran tonight, and the Sudanese army seizes a strategic supply line for the Rapid Support Forces
Fears of a massacre in this city on the front line of Sudan's war
A Sudanese human rights organization reported on Tuesday that 15 civilians were killed in two drone attacks in North Kordofan state on Monday and Tuesday. Sudanese authorities and human rights groups accuse the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) of targeting civilian infrastructure, while the RSF has not commented on these accusations. [
Sudan drone strikes on vehicles kill 15 civilians: rights group
ALERT: Sudan drone strikes on civilian vehicles kill 15: rights group
War in Sudan: at least 330 children killed or injured since the beginning of the year, according to UNICEF
The United Nations condemns the escalating violence perpetrated by the Rapid Support Forces in the Sudanese city of El Obeid. The UN warns of an imminent risk of atrocities in El Obeid, Sudan.
The UN Human Rights Council has adopted a resolution condemning the escalation of violence by the Rapid Support Forces in the Sudanese city of Al-Abyad and calling for an immediate investigation into human rights violations in the area.
The Sudanese army inflicts military losses on the Rapid Support Forces, and the militias' behavior against civilians raises humanitarian concerns. An interactive map of the fighting axes around the city of El Obeid:
The Sudanese army inflicts military losses on the Rapid Support Forces, and the militias' behavior against civilians raises humanitarian concerns. An interactive map of the fighting axes around the city of El Obeid:
The Sudanese army inflicts military losses on the Rapid Support Forces, and the militias' behavior against civilians raises humanitarian concerns. An interactive map of the fighting axes around the city of El Obeid:
Mosaad Boulos told Al-Hadath: There is an international consensus that there is no military solution in Sudan.
Massad Boulos, senior advisor to the US president, told Al Jazeera Mubasher: We are working to achieve a permanent ceasefire in Sudan and deliver humanitarian aid.
Mosaad Boulos told Al Jazeera: We are in constant contact with both sides of the war in Sudan and we hear reassuring words, but the reality on the ground is different.
Mosaad Boulos told Al Jazeera: We are in constant contact with both sides of the war in Sudan and we hear reassuring words, but the reality on the ground is different.
US Secretary of State: We want a ceasefire in Sudan and the establishment of safe zones for aid distribution to address the world's worst humanitarian crisis.
Rubio: We are focused on Sudan and want to achieve a ceasefire there and deliver aid to those in need.
Sudan army strike on Darfur camp kills 6: rights group
A truce on the brink of collapse: A return to negotiations or a slide back towards war? | Report by: Abdulhamid Al-Gharbani
STATEMENT OF THE FOREIGN MINISTERS OF THE SUDAN CORE GROUP AT THE HUMAN RIGHTS’ COUNCIL: GERMANY, IRELAND, THE NETHERLANDS, NORWAY, AND THE UNITED KINGDOM – CONCLUDES THAT RSF LED VIOLENCE IN EL FASHER CONSTITUTES WAR CRIMES
STATEMENT OF THE FOREIGN MINISTERS OF THE SUDAN CORE GROUP AT THE HUMAN RIGHTS’ COUNCIL – GERMANY, IRELAND, THE NETHERLANDS, NORWAY, AND THE UNITED KINGDOM – CONCLUDES THAT RSF LED VIOLENCE IN EL FASHER CONSTITUTES WAR CRIMES.
STATEMENT OF THE FOREIGN MINISTERS OF THE SUDAN CORE GROUP AT THE HUMAN RIGHTS’ COUNCIL – GERMANY, IRELAND, THE NETHERLANDS, NORWAY, AND THE UNITED KINGDOM – CONCLUDES THAT RSF LED VIOLENCE IN EL FASHER CONSTITUTES WAR CRIMES
Civilian death toll in Sudan war more than doubled in 2025: UN
The UN Security Council (UNSC) has expressed “deep concern” over escalating violence across war-torn Sudan, including in Darfur and Kordofan states, calling for an immediate end to the fighting. :
A UN fact-finding body says mass killings by Sudan’s paramilitary Rapid Support Forces in El Fasher carry the hallmarks of genocide, with thousands reported killed. Al Jazeera’s @hiba_morgan breaks down the findings, which accuse the RSF of rape, torture, and extortion.
Nearly 3 years into #Sudan’s war – over 1,000 days of relentless violence – civilians are paying the price. We urge those with influence to:
• Respect international humanitarian law
• Protect aid workers
• Press for an immediate end to the fighting
RSF's actions in capturing the Sudanese city of al‑Fashir bears hallmarks that point to genocide, an independent UN probe said in a new report
“No corner of Sudan is safe from the threat of attack.” @UNDPPA chief @DicarloRosemary says the UN will continue to make every effort to help end Sudan’s devastating conflict, urging immediate action to prevent atrocities from spreading further.
What is this event about?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) and the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.