Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
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Live: Strait of Hormuz vessel traffic rises slightly but remains below average
Reuters: Ship transit through the Strait of Hormuz fell threefold over the weekend.
Reuters: Visible traffic through the strait, which before the war carried a fifth of the world's oil and liquefied natural gas, has fallen sharply. Yet Middle Eastern producers continue to export their oil on tankers with their location transmitters turned off.
Live: Strait of Hormuz traffic remains around ‘90% below pre-conflict levels’ as gas prices climb
Reuters: Traffic in the Strait of Hormuz declines following escalation of attacks in the Middle East
Data shows that daily traffic volume in the Strait of Hormuz has dropped to single digits.
Reuters: Initial ship tracking data shows that cargo ship traffic through the Strait of Hormuz has dropped to less than 10 ships per day over the weekend, well below the 10-day average of 14 ships.
International Monetary Fund: Shipping traffic in the Strait of Hormuz has fallen by 90% Julie Kozak, spokeswoman for the International Monetary Fund: Shipping traffic in the Strait of Hormuz has fallen to 10% of the level before the US-Iran conflict. Some countries have used up their strategic oil and gas reserves, but these reserves must be replenished over time. Mizan on social networks @mizanplus
International Monetary Fund: Shipping traffic in the Strait of Hormuz has fallen by 90 percent Julie Kozak, a spokeswoman for the International Monetary Fund, said that shipping traffic in the Strait of Hormuz has fallen to 10 percent of its pre-US-Iran conflict level. According to her, some countries have used up their strategic oil and gas reserves, but these reserves must be replenished over time. Get the latest news:
Site | ETA | Yes | Rubika | Soroush Plus @snntv
IMF: Shipping traffic in the Strait of Hormuz has fallen to 10% of pre-war levels
URGENT Shipping in the Strait of Hormuz is 10% of pre-conflict levels – IMF
Live: Strait of Hormuz ship traffic drops as regional tensions persist
Reuters: Shipping data shows traffic slowing in the Strait of Hormuz at the start of the week as tensions in the region escalate.
Live: Strait of Hormuz traffic plunges to lowest levels since May: report
Live: Traffic through Strait of Hormuz reportedly hits lowest level since May
Commercial shipping in the Strait of Hormuz has fallen to its lowest level since May.
Reuters: Traffic has dropped sharply after recent attacks on oil tankers in the Strait of Hormuz Only 2 ships passed through the strait on Saturday and 6 on Sunday; most of them used the Iranian-controlled route / Selected
Traffic in the Strait of Hormuz has fallen to its lowest level since May.
Live: Shipping traffic in Hormuz drops to its lowest level since May
Trump: Iran's currency is in freefall, its oil exports have dropped to zero, and oil volumes passing through the Strait of Hormuz have returned to their previous levels. Trump: Iran's currency is in freefall, its oil exports have dropped to zero, and oil volumes passing through the Strait of Hormuz have reached 18 million barrels per day. Oil volumes passing through the Strait of Hormuz have returned to their previous levels.
The British Maritime Trade Operations Organization on the social network X, referring to the CENTCOM statement about the targeting of three Iranian oil tankers by American forces on September 4, stated: "Commercial traffic through the Strait of Hormuz remains at a lower level than usual. The Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps also continues to attempt to attack vessels and disrupt their traffic."
Live: Traffic in Strait of Hormuz remains well below pre-war levels, data shows
Vance says oil flow through the Strait of Hormuz has "almost" returned to pre-war levels.
The Joint Maritime Intelligence Center, on Thursday, September 3, called the threat level in the region's waterways "severe" and announced that the attacks and efforts of the Revolutionary Guard Corps to target or disrupt shipping in the Strait of Hormuz continue, including the flying of drones, targeted surveillance of commercial ships, and occasional radio contacts with them. According to the report, commercial traffic in the Strait of Hormuz remains below normal levels, and independent data indicates single-digit numbers of ships passing in both directions. The report also mentions the killing of two crew members of the "Sider" oil tanker, which was attacked on the evening of September 29 while passing eastward through the Strait of Hormuz.
Live: Gulf shipping traffic via Hormuz below 10-day average - data
Hormuz vessel traffic drops further: Update
Zenith Enterprise CEO Amr Kataya tells Al Arabiya Business: "Limited ship traffic through the Strait of Hormuz as Iranian attacks continue." "Sea freight and related services and products continue to rise due to the Iran war."
What is this event about?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz equal to or above 60 for any date between market creation and September 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Daily transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
This market will resolve as soon as IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls equal to or above the specified level, or once data has been published for the final date in the specified period and no such value has been published. If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.
Revisions to previously published data points made within this market’s timeframe will be considered. However, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from qualifying. Revisions to previously published data points after data is published for September 30, 2026, however, will not be considered.
In case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the date on which such data is first released to allow for corrections. Data integrity issues refer only to clerical or other similar errors in the underlying data, and do not include cases where IMF Portwatch differs from alternative sources.
The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.