Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?
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Market pricing makes Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? the favorite at 12%, as of .
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The state-run Mehr news agency reported that since August 21, the Islamic Republic's armed forces have prevented 30 vessels from passing through the Strait of Hormuz, and during this period, limited vessel traffic has only been allowed via routes approved by the Islamic Republic, with coordination and payment of tolls.
Mehr: 30 illegal vessels prevented from passing through the Strait of Hormuz Since August 19, 30 illegal vessels have attempted to pass through the Strait of Hormuz illegally, but have been prevented from passing by the Iranian armed forces. Based on this information, during this period, traffic will be limited to the route approved by the Islamic Republic of Iran, with coordination and payment of tolls. Also, before the start of the Ramadan War in January 1404, more than 1,500 oil tankers and 1,700 commercial ships passed through this route, which indicates a serious halt in traffic and trade in the current situation. @IRIBNEWS_COM
The average daily number of ships passing through the Strait of Hormuz has dropped from 100 before the war to 7.
Al Jazeera: Average number of ships passing through the Strait of Hormuz has dropped from 100 before the war to 7 per day/59% of US strategic reserves are empty @iribnews
The International Maritime Organization report, citing tracking data, indicates limited and slow ship traffic and says that very few ships are returning to the Persian Gulf to receive new cargoes because many shipping companies are reluctant to return their large ships through the strait after removing them from the Persian Gulf.
Live: Oil prices fall as Iran-Oman hold talks about strait of Hormuz, shipping traffic up
Ship Attack Amidst Hormuz Traffic Stagnation… Reopening Has a Long Way to Go
Kepler: Ship traffic in the Strait of Hormuz remains weak Information released by Kepler, a company that studies marine data, shows that ship traffic in the main passages of the Persian Gulf remains weak despite the release of news about the negotiations between Iran and Oman. Ship traffic in the Strait of Hormuz over the past day was lower than the average of the previous 10 days. Mizan on social networks @mizanplus
Live: Strait of Hormuz ship traffic remains low amid US-Iran standoff
The Strait of Hormuz: Between declining trade and the threat of mines... Transit traffic drops to 15 trips per day, and two-thirds of operations are now uncharted.
Six months after the start of the war, trade in the Strait of Hormuz has declined by 85%, and an Iranian closure in response to US-Israeli strikes is strangling a waterway that once handled a fifth of the world's oil and gas exports.
Iran and Oman to hold talks on managing the blockaded Strait of Hormuz; agreement to reach permanent shipping route within 60 days.
Six months since the closure of the Strait of Hormuz... Shipping traffic has declined by approximately 85%, from 95 to 15 ships daily, and thousands of sailors await safe passage through one of the world's most vital energy and trade arteries. #FromTheEvent
Live: Strait of Hormuz ship traffic holds at low levels on Tuesday
Iran, Oman reach agreement to temporarily reopen Strait of Hormuz
Gharibabadi: The southern route of the Strait of Hormuz will be closed. Oman agrees that this route will be closed and the matter will be reported to the International Maritime Organization. If Tehran's requirements are not met, the Strait of Hormuz will remain closed.
Six months since the start of the Middle East war, the strategic Strait of Hormuz remains largely paralysed, with thousands of sailors still stranded in the Gulf and commodity carrier traffic way below its normal level. •
After the number of transiting vessels dropped from six to one, shipping data shows cargo traffic through the Strait of Hormuz has fallen to its lowest level in three months.
Reuters: Cargo ship traffic through the Strait of Hormuz has reached its lowest level in more than three months Mizan on social media @mizanplus
The number of merchant ships passing through the Strait of Hormuz has fallen to a new low in more than three months.
Shipping data: Cargo vessel traffic in the Strait of Hormuz falls to its lowest level in 3 months
Reuters reports: Cargo ship traffic through the Strait of Hormuz has fallen to its lowest level in over three months.
Shipping data: Cargo vessel traffic in the Strait of Hormuz has fallen to its lowest level in three months.
Shipping data: Cargo ship traffic in the Strait of Hormuz fell to its lowest level in three months.
Shipping data: Cargo vessel traffic in the Strait of Hormuz falls to its lowest level in 3 months
Hormuz weekend traffic mixed with no deal in sight
Sharp drop in oil flow through the Strait of Hormuz Kepler tracking data shows that oil flow through the Strait of Hormuz has dropped to 6.7 million barrels per day and ship traffic has decreased sharply. mehrnews.com/x3cSyf @Mehrnews
New York Post: Iran's control over the Strait of Hormuz weakens, and shipping traffic in the strait increases by approximately 400% in two weeks under US protection The New York Post reported that Iran's control over the Strait of Hormuz appears to be waning. The newspaper revealed that shipping traffic in the vital waterway increased by approximately 400% over the past two weeks, coinciding with more ships using the route under US protection. The report revealed that approximately 200 ships transited the Strait of Hormuz last week, compared to approximately 150 ships the week before and only 40 ships two weeks prior. Shipping traffic in the strait reached approximately 20% of its pre-war level. Under normal circumstances, approximately 20% of the world's seaborne oil passes through the Strait of Hormuz. #From_the_Event
British maritime authority: Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz has increased by 400% in the past two weeks
Traffic in the Strait of Hormuz skyrockets nearly 400%, as analysts say Iran’s grip on critical waterway weakens
What is this event about?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz equal to or above 60 for any date between market creation and October 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Daily transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
This market will resolve as soon as IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls equal to or above the specified level, or once data has been published for the final date in the specified period and no such value has been published. If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.
Revisions to previously published data points made within this market’s timeframe will be considered. However, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from qualifying. Revisions to previously published data points after data is published for October 31, 2026, however, will not be considered.
In case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the date on which such data is first released to allow for corrections. Data integrity issues refer only to clerical or other similar errors in the underlying data, and do not include cases where IMF Portwatch differs from alternative sources.
The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.