SBF released from custody in 2026?
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Market pricing makes SBF released from custody in 2026? the favorite at 4%, as of .
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What moved the odds?
3 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s latest price as of .
US appellate court mandate affirms Sam Bankman-Fried conviction
Sam Bankman-Fried's appeal denied by federal court
U.S. Senate Unanimously Opposes Clemency for FTX Founder Sam Bankman-Fried • • The U.S. Senate unanimously approved a nonbinding resolution stating that FTX founder Sam Bankman-Fried should not receive a presidential pardon, sentence commutation or any other form of federal clemency “under any circumstances.” The measure passed by unanimous consent without objection. Bankman-Fried founded FTX, once one of the world’s largest crypto exchanges before its 2022 collapse, and is serving a 25-year sentence after being convicted on seven fraud and conspiracy charges. • • The resolution follows his efforts to seek clemency and comes after President Donald Trump pardoned Binance founder Changpeng Zhao and Silk Road founder Ross Ulbricht.
What is this event about?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sam Bankman-Fried is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Sam Bankman-Fried is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Sam Bankman-Fried is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Sam Bankman-Fried to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.