Republican VP Nominee 2028

OpenOutcomes127as of

Market pricing makes Marco Rubio the favorite at 30% across 127 tracked outcomes, as of .

What are the odds right now?

Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.

What moved the odds?

30 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s latest price as of .

J.D. Vanceaxios.com92%match94¢-1%
Sen. Eric Schmitt is drawing buzz as a possible Vance VP in 2028
Marco Rubiozerohedge92%match70¢
The Marco Rubio surge is long gone, as JD Vance's nomination odds are back over 50% for the first time since the start of the year
J.D. Vancezerohedge93%match6¢+17%
The Marco Rubio surge is long gone, as JD Vance's nomination odds are back over 50% for the first time since the start of the year
Republicans start making moves to challenge JD Vance for 2028 nomination
J.D. VanceTheHill Reporter97%match6¢+17%
Sen. Jim Banks backs Vice President JD Vance ahead of 2028: • • "Vice President JD Vance is the clear choice in 2028 to carry on our America First agenda and I look forward to supporting him.” • •
J.D. Vancefoxnews.com92%match7¢
‘Trump-level’ smackdown earns Vance roaring praise as 2028 buzz builds at GOP convention
J.D. Vancenypost.com97%match6¢+17%
JD Vance steals 2028 show at GOP convention — attendees deem VP ‘ready’ to be crowned Trump’s MAGA heir
J.D. VanceWaPo Reporter97%match6¢+17%
The Republican midterm convention crowd sure seemed to be sold on JD Vance as the 2028 nominee.
J.D. Vancedbws.io93%match6¢+17%
GOP Convention Crowd Urges Vance to Run in 2028 -- WSJ
Trump has scaled back his private Vance vs. Marco Rubio polling, two people familiar tell @playbookdc. • • And his tone on Vance has shifted, too: Trump has been telling people privately that Vance will be the nominee in 2028. His recent book tour apparently impressed the president. • • Rubio, meanwhile, increasingly looks like he’s clearing the way. • •
J.D. VancePolitico Reporter95%match6¢+17%
Trump has scaled back his private Vance vs. Marco Rubio polling, two people familiar tell @playbookdc. • • And his tone on Vance has shifted, too: Trump has been telling people privately that Vance will be the nominee in 2028. His recent book tour apparently impressed the president. • • Rubio, meanwhile, increasingly looks like he’s clearing the way. • •
In the halls of the convention, Vance is popular. Many attendees told me they like him (and Rubio). @mrddmia said Vance will be the nominee. @DrOz praised Vance's work ethic. And @LauraLoomer told me Vance's 2028 path is more fraught than he realizes because of Tucker Carlson.
J.D. VancePolitico Reporter92%match8¢-12%
News: VP Vance is scheduled to address the Pennsylvania, Ohio, Michigan and Wisconsin GOP delegations during a Thursday morning breakfast in Dallas, per sources • • A nice little group of 2028 battlegrounds there. Vance delivers his convention speech Thursday night.
J.D. Vanceforbes.com98%match8¢-12%
Pete Hegseth Denies Report He's Running For President In 2028: '100% False’. • Vice President JD Vance is currently the front runner for a 2028 Republican nominees, according to prediction market sites.
J.D. Vancems.now93%match92¢+1%
Cruz says GOP has not settled on Vance for 2028
J.D. Vancemoney.udn.com92%match10¢-30%
Trump has not explicitly designated a successor; reports suggest he privately supports Vance's candidacy for 2028.
J.D. Vancealhadath92%match92¢+1%
Trump tells donors in private meeting: We want to elect Vance president in 2028
J.D. Vancefoxnews98%match9¢-22%
President Trump may have just offered his clearest signal yet about who he wants to carry the MAGA mantle after his presidency. • • Private comments to donors suggest Trump is leaning toward Vice President JD Vance in 2028 after reportedly saying, "At the end of the day, we need to elect JD." • • While sources say the remark isn't a formal endorsement, it's the strongest indication yet of where Trump's thinking may be headed. • • Trump has continued to praise both Vance and Secretary of State Marco Rubio, calling Vance's work on fighting fraud "great" while previously hailing Rubio as potentially "the greatest secretary of state in history." • • He's also previously touted a potential Vance-Rubio ticket as "unstoppable," though he's stopped short of saying who should top the ticket. • • @foxnewspolitics • • Read the full story
J.D. Vancefoxnews98%match8¢-12%
President Trump may have just offered his clearest signal yet about who he wants to carry the MAGA mantle after his presidency. • • Private comments to donors suggest Trump is leaning toward Vice President JD Vance in 2028 after reportedly saying, "At the end of the day, we need to elect JD." • • While sources say the remark isn't a formal endorsement, it's the strongest indication yet of where Trump's thinking may be headed. • • Trump has continued to praise both Vance and Secretary of State Marco Rubio, calling Vance's work on fighting fraud "great" while previously hailing Rubio as potentially "the greatest secretary of state in history." • • He's also previously touted a potential Vance-Rubio ticket as "unstoppable," though he's stopped short of saying who should top the ticket. • • Read the full story
J.D. Vancefoxnews.com92%match9¢-22%
Trump told donors 'we need to elect JD,' source confirms, as he weighs Vance or Rubio in 2028
Jay Vance, Trump's choice for the next term of the US presidency Choose JD (Vance); this has been Donald Trump's secret advice to Republican donors for the upcoming US presidential election. The Washington Post wrote that the US President told Republican donors in a private meeting about 2 weeks ago, "We have to choose JD in the end." Mizan on social networks @mizanplus‏
Donald Trump would like to see Vice President J.D. Vance win the 2028 presidential election. The American leader said this during a private conversation with donors in the Oval Office about two weeks ago, The Washington Post reported, citing two sources. "Ultimately, we need to elect J.D.," the publication quotes the US president as saying. According to WP, this statement indicates Trump's willingness to publicly support Vance. At the same time, as noted in the article, this statement is at odds with Trump's rhetoric over the past year, when he publicly fueled competition for his favor between Vance and Secretary of State Marco Rubio. RBC Channel on "Max" RBC app for iOS and Android
Donald Trump wants J.D. Vance to be his successor in the 2028 election, The Washington Post reports, citing sources. "Ultimately, we need to elect J.D.," the US president said during a meeting with donors in the Oval Office about two weeks ago. The publication writes that these words contrast with Trump's rhetoric over the past year, when he publicly egged on Vance and Secretary of State Marco Rubio to compete for his favor. At the same time, he repeatedly refused to say whom he would prefer to see in power. The source says that it is "too early" to determine when Vance will announce his candidacy or when Trump will publicly endorse him. At the same time, the president's advisers say that the American leader's opinion could still change. More IZ RU news in MAX
The Washington Post revealed that US President Donald Trump told donors in private meetings that he wants to see his running mate, JD Vance, win the 2028 presidential election, a move seen as a sign that he is open to supporting him, despite some advisors believing Trump has not yet chosen his successor. According to the newspaper, Trump said during a meeting with donors in the Oval Office about two weeks ago, "Ultimately, we need to elect JD." This statement contradicts Trump's rhetoric last year, when he publicly encouraged competition between Vance and Secretary of State Marco Rubio for his endorsement, refusing to announce his preferred candidate to lead the party in the election. Despite praising Vance in front of donors, the newspaper quoted a White House official as saying that in recent weeks Trump has continued to ask his aides about the comparison between Vance and Rubio, while one of his advisors said he has secretly made his choice in favor of Vance, believing it is not yet time to announce it. He officially supported it. #AlMayadeen
J.D. Vanceiranintl98%match7¢
The Washington Post reported on Thursday, August 6 that US President Donald Trump, in a private meeting with his financial backers, mentioned J.D. Vance as a candidate for the 2028 presidential election, saying, "Ultimately, we have to choose J.D." According to the Washington Post, these statements come as Trump has refused to introduce his political successor in recent months and has continued the competition between Vance and Marco Rubio. However, some of the US president's advisers say he has not yet made a final decision about supporting the Republican Party's candidate in the 2028 election. The Washington Post also wrote that Vance's decision to enter the presidential race will be determined after the midterm elections. The newspaper added that JD Vance has attracted Trump's positive opinion in recent weeks by playing a role in negotiations with the Islamic Republic, and his advisers believe that this role, despite the failure of that understanding, has been politically beneficial to Vance.
J.D. Vanceiranintlbrk98%match7¢
The Washington Post reported that US President Donald Trump said in a private meeting with his donors: "Ultimately, we have to elect JD." The comment is a sign that he may support JD Vance in the 2028 presidential election.
Speculation about if Thune would run in 2028 or retire has circled amongst congressional Republicans in recent months • • One GOP senator said that "no one would blame him" if he decided to retire and “I wouldn’t be surprised if John Thune has had enough"
John Thunepolitico.com97%match99¢
John Thune signals he’ll pursue a 2028 run. Some aren’t sure he’ll follow through.

What is this event about?

This market will resolve according to the first individual to be formally nominated by the Republican Party for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 presidential election cycle who accepts the nomination. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official GOP sources, including https://www.gop.com. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.