Republican VP Nominee 2028Thomas Massie
Open$807as of
Odds now
The market prices a 6% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES6¢
NO94¢
as of
What moved the odds?
20 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
HEBRON, Ky. — Thomas Massie thought he could defy political gravity. Instead, he came crashing down to earth • • It’s a sign of Trump’s strength. But to Massie, it’s a warning • • “It’s dangerous when you shrink the tent,” he told us • • w/ @SyedahAsghar @MSNOWNews •
Thomas Massie tried to defy political gravity. Now he has crashed down to earth
Ed Gallrein thanks Trump after resounding GOP primary victory against Thomas Massie
The Lessons of Thomas Massie’s Defeat
Live: Can Thomas Massie run as an independent after GOP primary loss?
MTG says GOP's future 'destroyed' after Trump-backed primary challenger defeats Thomas Massie in pri
MTG says GOP's future 'destroyed' after Trump-backed primary challenger defeats Thomas Massie in primary
#Trump’s loyalty test just claimed another seat, as #Republican incumbent Thomas Massie was beaten by Gallrein, who centered his campaign around support for Trump. • •
Republican candidate Thomas Massie, an opponent of Trump's policies, loses the Kentucky primary election.
“Bi means you like both.” • • Rep. Thomas Massie cracks jokes after losing his primary race to Trump-endorsed former Navy SEAL Ed Gallrein, saying he may be “trans-partisan” because he doesn’t fully identify with either political side anymore. • • The Kentucky congressman spent years carving out a reputation as one of the most independent Republicans in Washington — often frustrating both party leadership and President Trump. • • But after a brutal Trump-backed challenge, Massie’s streak in Congress has now come to an end.
Live: Rep. Thomas Massie rips 'bullies' in his concession speech: 'Principles over party'
Thomas Massie in his concession speech: "While gas is almost $5 a gallon and diesel is almost $6, they're talking about this big ballroom...It looks like the Roman Empire. I see a few analogies there..."
Trump scores victory in primary defeat of Thomas Massie
BREAKING: TRUMP REVENGE TOUR ROLLS ON • • Trump-backed Ed Gallrein unseats incumbent Rep. Thomas Massie in Kentucky GOP primary, @NBCNews projects
Thomas Massie loses Republican primary to Trump-backed challenger Ed Gallrein. • Massie is known for being a libertarian, which has seen him frequently vote against his own party on budgetary matters, and he has emerged as one of the foremost Republican skeptics of Israel and the ongoing Iran war.
With nearly half the vote in, Ed Gallrein leads Thomas Massie 54-46 in the #KY04 primary. • • Massie’s home county has 85% of the vote in; Gallrein’s isn’t reporting any results yet. Gallrein leads across the vote-rich suburban Cincinnati suburbs.
TRUMP on Thomas Massie: “Thomas Massie’s a terrible congressman. He's been a terrible congressman from day one. Dealing with him is just horrible… I don't think he's a Republican.”
Thomas Massie's long-awaited primary is Tuesday. • • It's the moment of truth after Trump world has pulled out all the stops "to sink Massie in as big a way as possible," says our @DashaBurns on @playbookdc podcast. • •
NEW: Thomas Massie confronts the full force of Trump’s wrath in his Republican primary • • “People aren’t going to be voting for me or voting for [Gallrein],” he said. “They’re either going to be voting for me or voting against me.” • • w/ @scottwongDC @NBCNews
Live: Trump slams Kentucky Rep. Thomas Massie as 'weak and pathetic' and throws his support behind his opponent
Where does the news lean?
0YES42NO3neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 99%.
What would make this resolve YES?
This market will resolve according to the first individual to be formally nominated by the Republican Party for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 presidential election cycle who accepts the nomination.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official GOP sources, including https://www.gop.com.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Related markets
See all outcomes for Republican VP Nominee 2028 — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.