Republican VP Nominee 2028Marco Rubio
Open$10Kas of
Odds now
The market prices a 32% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES32¢
NO69¢
as of
What moved the odds?
3 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
A national poll conducted by Atlas Intel between May 4 and 8 shows that US Secretary of State Marco Rubio has overtaken J.D. Vance in the race for the Republican nomination for president in 2028. According to the poll, Rubio is leading with 45.4 percent support, while J.D. Vance has 29.6 percent of the vote. Ron DeSantis is in third place with 11.2 percent. The results represent a dramatic shift from five months ago, when Vance was leading with 46.7 percent and Rubio was at 22.6 percent. Rubio's surge in support reportedly came after a period of intense diplomatic activity, from Ukraine to Cuba to Iran.
Marco Rubio has a lead over J.D. Vance in the race for the Republican nomination in 2028, according to a national poll by Atlas Intel (May 4-8). Rubio has 45.4% support, Vance has 29.6%, and Ron DeSantis is third with 11.2%.
Marco Rubio heads to the Vatican as 2028 presidential buzz ramps up
Where does the news lean?
1YES7NO7neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 99%.
What would make this resolve YES?
This market will resolve according to the first individual to be formally nominated by the Republican Party for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 presidential election cycle who accepts the nomination.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official GOP sources, including https://www.gop.com.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
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