Presidential Election Winner 2028

OpenOutcomes128as of

Market pricing makes Mark Kelly the favorite at 2% across 128 tracked outcomes, as of .

What are the odds right now?

Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.

Mark Kelly2%
Eric Trump0%
Abigail Spanberger0%
Hakeem Jeffries0%
Candace Owens0%
Mike Johnson0%
Raphael Warnock0%
Person BG
Person CZ
Person AY
Person CG
Person BO
Person CK
Person BQ
Person AU
Person CQ
Person AV
Person AF
Person AW
Person CR
Person AG
Person AX
Person BV
Person AH
Person BW
Person AK
Person AZ
Person BY
Person AM
Person AO

All further outcomes (98 more):

Person AS · Person AT · Person BD · Person BE · Person CC · Person BK · Person CF · Person CI · JD Vance · Elon Musk · Jalen Brunson · Tom Cotton · Person BI · Person BS · Person DA · Gavin Newsom · John N. Kennedy · Person BL · Person BT · Person CH · Person CO · Pete Buttigieg · Tim Walz · Jon Ossoff · Josh Shapiro · Gretchen Whitmer · Tim Scott · Person BP · Marco Rubio · Doug Burgum · Person CN · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez · Wes Moore · Ron DeSantis · LeBron James · Rick Scott · Person AJ · Person BM · Person BU · Person CP · Andy Beshear · Person CT · Glenn Youngkin · Tucker Carlson · Person AL · Person BZ · Person CU · Kamala Harris · Ivanka Trump · Person AQ · Stephen Smith · Alex Padilla · Person CX · Tulsi Gabbard · Pete Hegseth · Person BH · JB Pritzker · Donald Trump · Jamie Dimon · Adam Schiff · Person BF · Person CE · Person DB · Donald Trump Jr. · Elissa Slotkin · Person BJ · Nikki Haley · Other · Vivek Ramaswamy · Person CL · Greg Abbott · Person AR · Person BR · Person CM · Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson · Person AI · Person BX · Person CS · Kim Kardashian · Person AN · Person BA · Zohran Mamdani · Josh Stein · Person BC · Person CB · Person CW · Michelle Obama · Person CD · Person CY · Ro Khanna · Thomas Massie · Person AP · Person BB · Person CA · Person CV · James Talarico · Person BN · Person CJ

What moved the odds?

A complete combined signal timeline is unavailable. The outcome odds above remain current to the stated time.

What is this event about?

The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.

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