Presidential Election Winner 2028

OpenOutcomes128as of

Market pricing makes JD Vance the favorite at 22% across 128 tracked outcomes, as of .

What are the odds right now?

Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.

What moved the odds?

30 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s latest price as of .

Kamala HarrisRussian Media96%match95¢+1%
The husband of former US Vice President Kamala Harris has privately opposed her running for the 2028 US presidential election, The Wall Street Journal reports. Kamala Harris herself has not yet announced her intention to run for the White House. According to the WSJ, she has not yet made a decision, and wants to focus as much as possible on the midterm elections, which will be held in November of this year. According to the newspaper, many donors to the Democratic Party also oppose Ms. Harris's potential participation in the elections, considering her candidacy controversial. Subscribe to Kommersant on MAX | on Telegram
Kamala HarrisRussian Media96%match95¢+1%
The husband of former US Vice President Kamala Harris has privately opposed her running for the 2028 US presidential election, The Wall Street Journal reports. Kamala Harris herself has not yet announced her intention to run for the White House. According to the WSJ, she has not yet made a decision, and wants to focus as much as possible on the midterm elections, which will be held in November of this year. According to the newspaper, many donors to the Democratic Party also oppose Ms. Harris's potential participation in the elections, considering her candidacy controversial. Subscribe to Kommersant on MAX | on Telegram
Kamala Harrisalhadath96%match95¢+1%
Amid her husband's reservations and Democratic skepticism, Kamala Harris's participation in the 2028 elections remains uncertain. Some Democrats believe the party needs a new candidate in the upcoming elections.
Kamala Harrisalarabiya96%match95¢+1%
Amid her husband's reticence and Democratic skepticism, uncertainty surrounds Kamala Harris's participation in the 2028 elections. Some Democrats believe the party needs a new candidate in the upcoming elections.
The Wall Street Journal revealed that Doug Emhoff, husband of former US Vice President Kamala Harris, told close associates that he would prefer she not run for president in 2028. Harris has not yet made a final decision on her candidacy, but she has begun preliminary steps, including contacting major donors, hiring staff, and visiting swing states to support the Democrats. However, there is debate within the Democratic Party about her return to the race, as a number of its leaders and those close to her believe it is necessary to field a new candidate in the 2028 election, after her loss to Trump in 2024.
JD Vancerbc.ru97%match79¢-1%
Vance has suggested he might withdraw from the 2028 US presidential election.
Peter Thiel says he worries it will be hard for JD Vance or Marco Rubio to win in 2028
Kamala HarrisNewswire96%match96¢
6% chance Kamala Harris wins the 2028 Democratic nomination. • •
Andy Beshearfoxnews98%match1¢+100%
Kentucky Governor Andy Beshear sparking 2028 presidential buzz while on his book tour. • • The Democrat says after winning reelection in 2023, he told his wife that he’d never have to run for anything again, but now he says “sitting here today, I’m not sure that’s true.” • • This move has many voters wondering: Who will be the first Democrat to announce a 2028 White House run? • • Kalshi’s prediction markets show the following: • • — Andy Beshear: 36% • — Pete Buttigieg: 24% • — Gavin Newsom: 13% • • @foxandfriends
JD Vancewashingtonpost.com95%match79¢-1%
Republicans start making moves to challenge JD Vance for 2028 nomination
Andy BeshearNewswire97%match99¢-1%
3% chance Andy Beshear wins the 2028 Democratic nomination. • •
Gavin Newsomalarabiya98%match92¢-1%
California Governor Makes Clear on 2028: He Won't Run Against Harris if She Decides to Run for President ======== California Governor Gavin Newsom confirmed that he will not run for president in 2028 if Kamala Harris decides to run. Newsom's stance came during an interview with CNN, where he described competing with Harris for the Democratic nomination as a waste of time. Newsom had previously hinted at the possibility of running for president, but said he was not ready for the 2024 election and was evaluating his position regarding 2028. Kamala Harris has said she is considering running in the 2028 election, but has not yet officially confirmed her entry into the race. Newsom's statements reshape the landscape of the Democratic Party's 2028 nomination race.
Gavin Newsomtheguardian.com97%match92¢-1%
Gavin Newsom says he will not run for president in 2028 if Kamala Harris does
Gavin Newsomnbcnews.com97%match92¢-1%
Live: Gavin Newsom says he won’t run for president in 2028 if Kamala Harris does
Gavin Newsomnbcnews.com97%match92¢-1%
Gavin Newsom says he won’t run for president in 2028 if Kamala Harris does
One Trump ally made the 2028 subtext explicit: "Trump understands economics and winning elections much better than little Ron DeSantis, who was blown out in a landslide in 2024... He will get ruined again."
Marco RubioNBC Reporter96%match90¢+2%
NEWS: Marco Rubio privately said that he is not planning a 2028 presidential bid, according to a person familiar with the matter @NBCNews • • Rubio has said he would support JD Vance as the nominee if he runs • • But he is leaving the door open for the future
JD Vancemoney.udn.com93%match80¢-2%
Poll: 2028 Presidential Election Hypothetical Head-to-Head: Rubio Slightly Outperforms Vance
Ocasio-Cortez surpasses Newsom as 2028 Dem presidential favorite on Polymarket
#AOC2028? • • Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez says she hasn’t ruled out a potential run for president or Senate in 2028 •
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez has not ruled out running for the US presidency in 2028. A poll places her as the favorite for the Democratic primaries with 22%. "I haven't ruled out the possibility," she told ABC. Vance and Rubio lead the Republican preferences to succeed Trump. #USA #OcasioCortez #Elections2028 #teleSUR #Aug9
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortezcnbc93%match10¢+30%
Ocasio-Cortez hasn't 'ruled out' running for president or Senate in 2028
Ocasio-Cortez hasn't 'ruled out' running for president or Senate in 2028
JD Vancealhadath97%match21¢+5%
A private meeting in the Oval Office... The Washington Post reports that Donald Trump told a group of major donors he wants to see his vice president, J.D. Vance, as president in the 2028 election.
JD VanceChannel 12 (N12)96%match21¢+5%
Tomer Almagor Report in the Washington Post: President Donald Trump told donors in a private meeting in the Oval Office about two weeks ago that he wants to see his vice president, J.D. Vance, win the 2028 presidential election: "Ultimately, we have to elect J.D." Photo: Reuters
JD Vancefoxnews97%match21¢+5%
President Trump may have just offered his clearest signal yet about who he wants to carry the MAGA mantle after his presidency. • • Private comments to donors suggest Trump is leaning toward Vice President JD Vance in 2028 after reportedly saying, "At the end of the day, we need to elect JD." • • While sources say the remark isn't a formal endorsement, it's the strongest indication yet of where Trump's thinking may be headed. • • Trump has continued to praise both Vance and Secretary of State Marco Rubio, calling Vance's work on fighting fraud "great" while previously hailing Rubio as potentially "the greatest secretary of state in history." • • He's also previously touted a potential Vance-Rubio ticket as "unstoppable," though he's stopped short of saying who should top the ticket. • • Read the full story
JD Vance, Trump's choice for the next term of the US presidency Elect JD (Vance); this has been Donald Trump's secret advice to the Republican Party's financial backers for the upcoming US presidential election. The Washington Post wrote that the US President told Republican financial backers in a private meeting about 2 weeks ago that we should ultimately elect JD. Get the latest news: Site | ETA | Yes | Rubika | Soroush Plus @snntv
Jay Vance, Trump's choice for the next term of the US presidency Choose JD (Vance); this has been Donald Trump's secret advice to Republican donors for the upcoming US presidential election. The Washington Post wrote that the US President told Republican donors in a private meeting about 2 weeks ago, "We have to choose JD in the end." Mizan on social networks @mizanplus‏
JD VanceRussian Media98%match21¢+5%
Donald Trump would like to see Vice President J.D. Vance win the 2028 presidential election. The American leader said this during a private conversation with donors in the Oval Office about two weeks ago, The Washington Post reported, citing two sources. "Ultimately, we need to elect J.D.," the publication quotes the US president as saying. According to WP, this statement indicates Trump's willingness to publicly support Vance. At the same time, as noted in the article, this statement is at odds with Trump's rhetoric over the past year, when he publicly fueled competition for his favor between Vance and Secretary of State Marco Rubio. RBC Channel on "Max" RBC app for iOS and Android
JD VanceRussian Media98%match21¢+5%
Donald Trump wants J.D. Vance to be his successor in the 2028 election, The Washington Post reports, citing sources. "Ultimately, we need to elect J.D.," the US president said during a meeting with donors in the Oval Office about two weeks ago. The publication writes that these words contrast with Trump's rhetoric over the past year, when he publicly egged on Vance and Secretary of State Marco Rubio to compete for his favor. At the same time, he repeatedly refused to say whom he would prefer to see in power. The source says that it is "too early" to determine when Vance will announce his candidacy or when Trump will publicly endorse him. At the same time, the president's advisers say that the American leader's opinion could still change. More IZ RU news in MAX

What is this event about?

The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.

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