Presidential Election Winner 2028JD Vance
Open$15.9Mas of
Odds now
The market prices a 25% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES25¢
NO75¢
as of
What moved the odds?
20 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
Donald Trump wants J.D. Vance to be his successor in the 2028 election, The Washington Post reports, citing sources. "Ultimately, we need to elect J.D.," the US president said during a meeting with donors in the Oval Office about two weeks ago. The publication writes that these words contrast with Trump's rhetoric over the past year, when he publicly egged on Vance and Secretary of State Marco Rubio to compete for his favor. At the same time, he repeatedly refused to say whom he would prefer to see in power. The source says that it is "too early" to determine when Vance will announce his candidacy or when Trump will publicly endorse him. At the same time, the president's advisers say that the American leader's opinion could still change. More IZ RU news in MAX
Vance asked to comment as potential 'future presidential candidate'
Vance and the race to succeed Trump
Marco Rubio has a lead over J.D. Vance in the race for the Republican nomination in 2028, according to a national poll by Atlas Intel (May 4-8). Rubio has 45.4% support, Vance has 29.6%, and Ron DeSantis is third with 11.2%.
39% chance JD Vance wins the 2028 Republican nomination. • •
NOWalter Bloomberg99%match79¢-5%
Rubio has overtaken J.D. Vance as the favorite to win the 2028 U.S. presidential election •
NOPolymarket98%match77¢-3%
BREAKING: Gavin Newsom & Marco Rubio surge in 2028 Presidential Election odds, as VP Vance & AOC fall.
YESPolymarket98%match25¢
[Replying to @rawsalerts] @rawsalerts 2028 Presidential Election Winner: Vance - 25% Harris - 4% Trump - 3% > #BREAKING: CNN’s top analysis shows that in a hypothetical rematch between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump, Kamala Harris would now beat Trump
NOPolymarket99%match75¢
[Replying to @Breaking911] @Breaking911 2028 Presidential Election odds: JD Vance - 25% Gavin Newsom - 17% Marco Rubio - 8% Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez - 5% > Q: But surely, as VP, you'd like to be President? VP Vance: Hahahaha, would I?
YESThe Spectator Index99%match26¢-4%
UNITED STATES: JD Vance leads chances of winning next Presidential Election with 26%, followed by Gavin Newsom on 19% and Marco Rubio on 11%, according to prediction market @Kalshi.
NOPolymarket99%match74¢+1%
JUST IN: JD Vance’s once dominant lead in the 2028 election odds has fallen, amid the government shutdown & rising national unrest. Only 26% chance he’s the winner.
NOPOLITICO99%match73¢+3%
Young Trump supporters may not be all that enamored with JD Vance as they weigh their 2028 options. A recent focus group of 18- to 24-year-old Trump voters suggests weaknesses for Vance among young Republicans.
YESBreaking91199%match28¢-11%
JD Vance receives an early state-level endorsement from Gov. Youngkin for a potential 2028 White House run.
YESLeading Report99%match28¢-11%
BREAKING: Gov. Glenn Youngkin backs JD Vance for president in 2028.
YESAxios99%match31¢-19%
JD Vance delicately plots 2028 run
YESunusual_whales98%match32¢-22%
[Replying to @unusual_whales] "We are going to get my husband’s friend JD Vance elected for 48 in the most resounding way possible,” she said. Read more: >
NOBreaking91199%match68¢+10%
AOC reposts report that she's leading JD Vance in 2028 presidential poll
YESPOLITICO99%match30¢-17%
New: The hot topic during Tuesday's SCOTUS arguments about campaign finance? Whether JD Vance is already running for the WH in 2028. w/ @joshgerstein
YESThe Spectator Index99%match30¢-17%
UNITED STATES: JD Vance leads chances of winning next Presidential Election with 30%, followed by Gavin Newsom on 21% and AOC on 6%, according to prediction market @Kalshi.
NOBloomberg99%match70¢+7%
JD Vance is Trump’s heir apparent — but the president's unpopularity may drag him down before the 2028 race even begins, writes @niamalikah (via @opinion)
Where does the news lean?
45YES17NO22neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 99%.
What would make this resolve YES?
The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028.
This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
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