Presidential Election Winner 2028Gavin Newsom
Open$18.0Mas of
Odds now
The market prices a 7% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES7¢
NO93¢
as of
What moved the odds?
9 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
California Gov. Gavin Newsom: • • So, we have to be, dare I say it, and I’m sorry, Democrats, that we have to be as ruthless as our opposition. We do. • • We have to win. It’s all on the line. • • I’m done winning arguments with all due respect to the niceties. It feels good, but we’re going to lose our republic.
YESPolymarket99%match17¢-59%
BREAKING: Gavin Newsom & Marco Rubio surge in 2028 Presidential Election odds, as VP Vance & AOC fall.
NOBreaking91199%match83¢+12%
Stephen A. Smith teased a possible 2028 presidential run and said Gavin Newsom could struggle to campaign amid California’s ongoing problems.
NOThe Spectator Index98%match81¢+15%
UNITED STATES: Gavin Newsom chances of becoming Democratic presidential nominee continue to decline steadily, now at 30%, followed by Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez at 9%, according to @Kalshi prediction market.
YESBreaking91199%match19¢-63%
BREAKING: Kamala Harris is on the rise to be the 2028 Democratic Nominee, but Gavin Newsom still leads. [Quoting @Polymarket]
> BREAKING: Kamala Harris is on the rise to be the 2028 Democratic Nominee, but Gavin Newsom still leads.
YESPolymarket99%match19¢-63%
BREAKING: Kamala Harris is on the rise to be the 2028 Democratic Nominee, but Gavin Newsom still leads.
NOzerohedge98%match80¢+16%
Gavin Newsom literally this morning: NEWSOM: "I'm proud of [giving illegals medicaid benefits]... we're one of 16 states to provide care to people regardless of their immigration status."
YESLeading Report99%match18¢-61%
BREAKING: Gov. Gavin Newsom emerges as the clear Democratic frontrunner for 2028, per Polymarket.
NOThe Spectator Index99%match82¢+13%
UNITED STATES: JD Vance leads chances of winning next Presidential Election with 30%, followed by Gavin Newsom on 21% and AOC on 6%, according to prediction market @Kalshi.
Where does the news lean?
15YES10NO15neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 99%.
What would make this resolve YES?
The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028.
This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
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See all outcomes for Presidential Election Winner 2028 — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.