Ohio Senate Election Winner
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Market pricing makes Sherrod Brown (D) the favorite at 63% across 13 tracked outcomes, as of .
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Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.
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30 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s latest price as of .
Brown holds 6-point lead over Husted in Ohio Senate race survey Former Sen. Sherrod Brown (D-Ohio) is ahead of incumbent Sen. Jon Husted (R-Ohio) by six points in the race for the latter’s seat, according to a new poll. In the CNN poll, 49 percent of respondents said they were leaning in the direction of Brown if the election occurred that day, while 43 percent said…
Brown holds 6-point lead over Husted in Ohio Senate race survey Former Sen. Sherrod Brown (D-Ohio) is ahead of incumbent Sen. Jon Husted (R-Ohio) by six points in the race for the latter’s seat, according to a new poll. In the CNN poll, 49 percent of respondents said they were leaning in the direction of Brown if the election occurred that day, while 43 percent said…
New CNN polls conducted by SSRS show Democrat Sherrod Brown with a a 6-point lead among likely voters over GOP Sen. Jon Husted in Ohio and no clear leader in the Iowa Senate race between GOP Rep. Ashley Hinson & Dem nominee Josh Turek
New CNN polls conducted by SSRS show Democrat Sherrod Brown with a a 6-point lead among likely voters over GOP Sen. Jon Husted in Ohio and no clear leader in the Iowa Senate race between GOP Rep. Ashley Hinson & Dem nominee Josh Turek
Decision Desk HQ Forecast (10/5): • • Democrat Sherrod Brown: 51% • Republican Jon Husted: 49% • • Ohio is a coin flip, but Democrats are favored slightly. • • Democrats need to flip four seats for a Senate majority, and races this close are where that math gets settled.
Decision Desk HQ Forecast (10/5): • • Democrat Sherrod Brown: 51% • Republican Jon Husted: 49% • • Ohio is a coin flip, but Democrats are favored slightly. • • Democrats need to flip four seats for a Senate majority, and races this close are where that math gets settled.
Trump to campaign with Husted in Ohio President Trump will campaign with incumbent Ohio Sen. Jon Husted (R) in Youngstown next week, marking his second trip to Ohio in a month as the incumbent faces an uphill climb in the Buckeye State. The Oct. 12 rally comes as several polls show Husted trailing former Sen. Sherrod Brown (D-Ohio). A New York Times/Siena…
62% chance Democrat Sherrod Brown wins the Ohio Senate race — Polymarket • •
62% chance Democrat Sherrod Brown wins the Ohio Senate race — Polymarket • •
President Trump showers Jon Husted in praise at his Ohio rally, shouting out his Ratepayer Protection Act which four Senate Democrats supported (nearly all House Dems voted for it) • • Schumer called it a “messaging bill” but datacenters are a top issue in #OHSEN, Husted vs Brown
Democratic Senate nominees are now leading or tied in five reliably Republican states, according to a new NYT/Siena poll. • • Kansas • 45% Adam Hamilton (D) • 45% Roger Marshall (R) • • Texas • 51% James Talarico (D) • 45% Ken Paxton (R) • • Alaska • 50% Mary Peltola (D) • 43% Dan Sullivan (R) • • Ohio • 49% Sherrod Brown (D) • 46% Jon Husted (R) • • Iowa • 48% Ashley Hinson (R) • 47% Josh Turek (D)
Trump rallies in Ohio to boost Jon Husted in a tight Senate race against Sherrod Brown
Crypto industry spends big to try to stop Sherrod Brown from winning in Ohio
Hottest 2026 Midterm Races—Democrat Sherrod Brown Up 8 Points In Ohio Senate Race (Updated Daily). • Trump has a 37% average approval rating in Nate Silver’s Silver Bulletin.
Live: In Ohio, Republican-backed PACs have already spent tens of millions of dollars flooding voters with ads depicting Sherrod Brown, the Democratic candidate for Senate, as a radical progressive and a creature of Washington.
New GOP ad rips Ohio Senate hopeful Sherrod Brown for alleged trans surgery support
LATEST: Crypto super PAC Fairshake plans to spend $30 million against Democratic Senate candidate Sherrod Brown in Ohio following the CLARITY Act’s defeat last week, according to The New York Times. • • Fairshake spent $41 million opposing Brown in 2024.
The $30 million onslaught from Fairshake will begin tomorrow. Buys are being placed today. • • It will give Republicans a bigger advantage over Democrats in Ohio, where Sherrod Brown already is being outspent. • •
NEWS: • • Here comes the crypto industry’s big spending against Democrats. • • Fairshake is going to spend $30 million against Sherrod Brown in Ohio’s Senate race. • • It’s payback after Senate Dems torpedoed the CLARITY Act. • •
Wednesday’s Campaign Round-Up, 9.16.26: Sherrod Brown maintains polling lead in Ohio
Decision Desk HQ Ohio Senate Forecast (9/8): • • Probabilities: • Brown: 54% • Husted: 46% • • Polling Average • Brown: 50.1% • Husted: 44.2% • • Projected Vote Share: • Brown: 50.5% • Husted: 49.5% • • Explore this race on Votes:
Decision Desk HQ Ohio Senate Forecast (9/8): • • Probabilities: • Brown: 54% • Husted: 46% • • Polling Average • Brown: 50.1% • Husted: 44.2% • • Projected Vote Share: • Brown: 50.5% • Husted: 49.5% • • Explore this race on Votes:
In our latest forecast update, Sherrod Brown is the narrow favorite to win Ohio's Senate election. • • At the start of September, both candidates were tied at a 50% probability to win, and Husted was favored 58%-42% at the start of August.
In our latest forecast update, Sherrod Brown is the narrow favorite to win Ohio's Senate election. • • At the start of September, both candidates were tied at a 50% probability to win, and Husted was favored 58%-42% at the start of August.
Republican concerns mount as Sen. Jon Husted navigates a tricky race in Ohio
Ties to data centers could cost Ohio Sen. Jon Husted his seat, memo warns
Fox poll: Ohio registered voters • • U.S. Senate • Sherrod Brown (D): 53% • Jon Husted (R): 45%
Fox poll: Ohio registered voters • • U.S. Senate • Sherrod Brown (D): 53% • Jon Husted (R): 45%
Sherrod Brown Faces Steep Climb to Win Back His Old Job -- WSJ
In Ohio, the DDHQ Forecast has Jon Husted as the favorite to win, with a win probability of 59%. • • The projected vote share is 51.5% to 48.5%.
What is this event about?
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ohio U.S. Senate special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.