Ohio Senate Election Winner

OpenOutcomes13as of

Market pricing makes Sherrod Brown (D) the favorite at 55% across 13 tracked outcomes, as of .

What are the odds right now?

Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.

What moved the odds?

9 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s latest price as of .

Ties to data centers could cost Ohio Sen. Jon Husted his seat, memo warns
Fox poll: Ohio registered voters • • U.S. Senate • Sherrod Brown (D): 53% • Jon Husted (R): 45%
Fox poll: Ohio registered voters • • U.S. Senate • Sherrod Brown (D): 53% • Jon Husted (R): 45%
Sherrod Brown (D)dbws.io94%match51¢-12%
Sherrod Brown Faces Steep Climb to Win Back His Old Job -- WSJ
In Ohio, the DDHQ Forecast has Jon Husted as the favorite to win, with a win probability of 59%. • • The projected vote share is 51.5% to 48.5%.
In Ohio, the DDHQ Forecast has Jon Husted as the favorite to win, with a win probability of 59%. • • The projected vote share is 51.5% to 48.5%.
Sherrod Brown has $17 million Q2
Sherrod Brown raised more than $17.1 million across his committees in the second quarter, his campaign announces #OHSEN
Sherrod Brown (D)Bloomberg99%match36¢+53%
Democrats have polls and history on their side going into the 2026 midterms — but sustaining that momentum for 10 months will be challenging

What is this event about?

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ohio U.S. Senate special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

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