Ohio Senate Election WinnerSherrod Brown (D)
Open$691Kas of
Odds now
The market prices a 62% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES62¢
NO39¢
as of
What moved the odds?
7 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
New CNN polls conducted by SSRS show Democrat Sherrod Brown with a a 6-point lead among likely voters over GOP Sen. Jon Husted in Ohio and no clear leader in the Iowa Senate race between GOP Rep. Ashley Hinson & Dem nominee Josh Turek
Crypto industry spends big to try to stop Sherrod Brown from winning in Ohio
The $30 million onslaught from Fairshake will begin tomorrow. Buys are being placed today. • • It will give Republicans a bigger advantage over Democrats in Ohio, where Sherrod Brown already is being outspent. • •
NEWS: • • Here comes the crypto industry’s big spending against Democrats. • • Fairshake is going to spend $30 million against Sherrod Brown in Ohio’s Senate race. • • It’s payback after Senate Dems torpedoed the CLARITY Act. • •
Fox poll: Ohio registered voters • • U.S. Senate • Sherrod Brown (D): 53% • Jon Husted (R): 45%
Sherrod Brown Faces Steep Climb to Win Back His Old Job -- WSJ
Sherrod Brown has $17 million Q2
Where does the news lean?
14YES9NO8neutraltrailing 24h
Signal flow leans NO at 60% — signal sentiment, not the market price. Average match confidence across the listed signals: 95%.
What would make this resolve YES?
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ohio U.S. Senate special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
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