Ohio Senate Election WinnerSherrod Brown (D)

OpenVol$110Kas of

Odds now

The market prices a 55% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .

YES55¢
NO46¢

24has of

What moved the odds?

3 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .

YESMS NOW Reporter97%match56¢-2%
Fox poll: Ohio registered voters • • U.S. Senate • Sherrod Brown (D): 53% • Jon Husted (R): 45%
NOdbws.io94%match51¢-12%
Sherrod Brown Faces Steep Climb to Win Back His Old Job -- WSJ
YESPunchbowl Reporter99%match49¢+12%
Sherrod Brown has $17 million Q2

Where does the news lean?

4YES2NO0neutraltrailing 24h

Average match confidence across the listed signals: 97%.

What would make this resolve YES?

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ohio U.S. Senate special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

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