MI-13 Democratic Primary Winner
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This hub tracks 32 outcomes of this event, with the news signals that move them.
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Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.
What moved the odds?
30 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s latest price as of .
Rep. Shri Thanedar Loses Reelection Bid to DSA-Backed Challenger
Live: Democrat Rep. Shri Thanedar ousted by DSA-backed Donavan McKinney in latest win for far-left
Live: Democrat Rep. Shri Thanedar ousted by DSA-backed Donavan McKinney in latest win for far-left
Democrat Rep. Shri Thanedar ousted by DSA-backed Donavan McKinney in latest win for far-left
Democrat Rep. Shri Thanedar ousted by DSA-backed Donavan McKinney in latest win for far-left
Live: Donavan McKinney projected to win Democratic primary in Michigan’s 13th House District
Live: DSA-backed candidate Donavan McKinney topples millionaire Dem incumbent in Michigan
Decision Desk HQ projects Donavan McKinney wins the Michigan US House 13 Democratic Primary • • #DecisionMade: 10:12 AM EDT
Democratic Rep. Shri Thanedar ousted by progressive challenger in Michigan • • State Rep. Donavan McKinney will be the Dem nominee in November
Democratic Rep. Shri Thanedar ousted by progressive challenger in Michigan • • State Rep. Donavan McKinney will be the Dem nominee in November
WASHINGTON (AP) - Donavan McKinney wins Democratic nomination for U.S. House in Michigan's 13th Congressional District.
Democratic Rep. Shri Thanedar ousted by progressive challenger in Michigan
BREAKING: AP projects that Rep. Shri Thanedar (D-MI) has lost his primary race to DSA-endorsed socialist Donavan McKinney. • • Thanedar had been endorsed by House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries.
BREAKING: AP projects that Rep. Shri Thanedar (D-MI) has lost his primary race to DSA-endorsed socialist Donavan McKinney. • • Thanedar had been endorsed by House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries.
Democratic Rep. Shri Thanedar loses his primary to a progressive challenger in Michigan
And there’s the AP call for Donavan McKinney against Shri Thanedar
NEW: @AP_RaceCalls calls #MI13 for Donavan McKinney. He has unseated Rep. Shri Thanedar.
Shri Thanedar loses primary to DSA-backed Donavan McKinney, latest House Dem incumbent to get ousted this cycle
Shri Thanedar loses primary to DSA-backed Donavan McKinney, latest House Dem incumbent to get ousted this cycle
WASHINGTON (AP) — Donavan McKinney wins Democratic nomination for U.S. House in Michigan's 13th Congressional District
Live: WASHINGTON (AP) — Donavan McKinney wins Democratic nomination for U.S. House in Michigan’s 13th Congressional District
Rep. Shri Thanedar still trails progressive challenger Donavan McKinney in #MI13 as of this morning by about 3 points w/ nearly three quarters of the vote in
Rep. Shri Thanedar still trails progressive challenger Donavan McKinney in #MI13 as of this morning by about 3 points w/ nearly three quarters of the vote in
DDHQ Race Update (est. 78% in): Michigan US House 13 Democratic Primary • • Donavan McKinney (D): 52,524 (51.7%) • Shri Thanedar (D): 49,161 (48.4%) • • Follow more results here: •
DDHQ Race Update (est. 69% in): Michigan US House 13 Democratic Primary • • Donavan McKinney (D): 46,400 (51.7%) • Shri Thanedar (D): 43,390 (48.3%) • • Follow more results here: •
DDHQ Race Update (est. 69% in): Michigan US House 13 Democratic Primary • • Donavan McKinney (D): 46,400 (51.7%) • Shri Thanedar (D): 43,390 (48.3%) • • Follow more results here: •
DDHQ Race Update (est. 55% in): Michigan US House 13 Democratic Primary • • Donavan McKinney (D): 37,746 (52.0%) • Shri Thanedar (D): 34,907 (48.1%) • • Follow more results here: •
DDHQ Race Update (est. 55% in): Michigan US House 13 Democratic Primary • • Donavan McKinney (D): 37,746 (52.0%) • Shri Thanedar (D): 34,907 (48.1%) • • Follow more results here: •
DDHQ Race Update (est. 55% in): Michigan US House 13 Democratic Primary • • Donavan McKinney (D): 37,746 (52.0%) • Shri Thanedar (D): 34,907 (48.1%) • • Follow more results here: •
DDHQ Race Update (est. 55% in): Michigan US House 13 Democratic Primary • • Donavan McKinney (D): 37,746 (52.0%) • Shri Thanedar (D): 34,907 (48.1%) • • Follow more results here: •
What is this event about?
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.