MI-13 Democratic Primary WinnerShri Thanedar
ResolvedOutcome: No$832Kas of
Odds now
This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .
YES0¢
NO100¢
as of
What moved the odds?
18 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
Rep. Shri Thanedar Loses Reelection Bid to DSA-Backed Challenger
Live: Democrat Rep. Shri Thanedar ousted by DSA-backed Donavan McKinney in latest win for far-left
Democrat Rep. Shri Thanedar ousted by DSA-backed Donavan McKinney in latest win for far-left
Democratic Rep. Shri Thanedar ousted by progressive challenger in Michigan • • State Rep. Donavan McKinney will be the Dem nominee in November
Democratic Rep. Shri Thanedar ousted by progressive challenger in Michigan
BREAKING: AP projects that Rep. Shri Thanedar (D-MI) has lost his primary race to DSA-endorsed socialist Donavan McKinney. • • Thanedar had been endorsed by House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries.
Democratic Rep. Shri Thanedar loses his primary to a progressive challenger in Michigan
Shri Thanedar loses primary to DSA-backed Donavan McKinney, latest House Dem incumbent to get ousted this cycle
Rep. Shri Thanedar still trails progressive challenger Donavan McKinney in #MI13 as of this morning by about 3 points w/ nearly three quarters of the vote in
DDHQ Race Update (est. 69% in): Michigan US House 13 Democratic Primary • • Donavan McKinney (D): 46,400 (51.7%) • Shri Thanedar (D): 43,390 (48.3%) • • Follow more results here: •
DDHQ Race Update (est. 55% in): Michigan US House 13 Democratic Primary • • Donavan McKinney (D): 37,746 (52.0%) • Shri Thanedar (D): 34,907 (48.1%) • • Follow more results here: •
DDHQ Race Update (est. 55% in): Michigan US House 13 Democratic Primary • • Donavan McKinney (D): 37,746 (52.0%) • Shri Thanedar (D): 34,907 (48.1%) • • Follow more results here: •
Rep. Shri Thanedar now trails progressive challenger Donavan McKinney in #MI13 by 7 points w/ about 40% of the vote in:
DDHQ Race Update (est. 30% in): Michigan US House 13 Democratic Primary • • Shri Thanedar (D): 21,590 (54.3%) • Donavan McKinney (D): 18,195 (45.7%) • • Follow more results here: •
Rep. Shri Thanedar now leads challenger Donavan McKinney by nearly 8 points w/ 27% of precincts reporting. Still pretty early though.
Fundraising in #MI13 from Jul. 1 to Jul. 15, per FEC filings: • • Shri Thanedar (inc.) • Raised - $143,000 • Spent - $1.2 million • Cash-on-hand - $5 million • • Donavan McKinney • Raised - $113,000 • Spent - $234,000 • Cash-on-hand - $143,000
Q2 fundraising (Apr. 1 to Jun. 30) in the #MI13 Democratic primary: • • Shri Thanedar (inc.) • Raised - $350,000 • Spent - $875,000 • Cash-on-hand - $4.7 million • • Donavan McKinney • Raised - $257,000 • Spent - $448,000 • Cash-on-hand - $264,000
One potential second-order effect of the VRA ruling: It could put Shri Thanedar one retirement away from a committee gavel
Where does the news lean?
8YES23NO5neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 96%.
Past moves on this market
Material odds moves (≥8 points within an hour of a matched news signal), newest first — each links to a dated brief on what moved the price.
How did this market resolve?
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
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See all outcomes for MI-13 Democratic Primary Winner — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.