MI-13 Democratic Primary WinnerDonavan McKinney
ResolvedOutcome: Yes$954Kas of
Odds now
This market has resolved Yes. Final market pricing put YES at 100%, as of .
YES100¢
NO0¢
as of
What moved the odds?
24 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
Live: Democrat Rep. Shri Thanedar ousted by DSA-backed Donavan McKinney in latest win for far-left
Democrat Rep. Shri Thanedar ousted by DSA-backed Donavan McKinney in latest win for far-left
Live: Donavan McKinney projected to win Democratic primary in Michigan’s 13th House District
Live: DSA-backed candidate Donavan McKinney topples millionaire Dem incumbent in Michigan
Decision Desk HQ projects Donavan McKinney wins the Michigan US House 13 Democratic Primary • • #DecisionMade: 10:12 AM EDT
Democratic Rep. Shri Thanedar ousted by progressive challenger in Michigan • • State Rep. Donavan McKinney will be the Dem nominee in November
WASHINGTON (AP) - Donavan McKinney wins Democratic nomination for U.S. House in Michigan's 13th Congressional District.
BREAKING: AP projects that Rep. Shri Thanedar (D-MI) has lost his primary race to DSA-endorsed socialist Donavan McKinney. • • Thanedar had been endorsed by House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries.
And there’s the AP call for Donavan McKinney against Shri Thanedar
NEW: @AP_RaceCalls calls #MI13 for Donavan McKinney. He has unseated Rep. Shri Thanedar.
Shri Thanedar loses primary to DSA-backed Donavan McKinney, latest House Dem incumbent to get ousted this cycle
YESAPws98%match99¢+1%
WASHINGTON (AP) — Donavan McKinney wins Democratic nomination for U.S. House in Michigan's 13th Congressional District
Live: WASHINGTON (AP) — Donavan McKinney wins Democratic nomination for U.S. House in Michigan’s 13th Congressional District
Rep. Shri Thanedar still trails progressive challenger Donavan McKinney in #MI13 as of this morning by about 3 points w/ nearly three quarters of the vote in
DDHQ Race Update (est. 78% in): Michigan US House 13 Democratic Primary • • Donavan McKinney (D): 52,524 (51.7%) • Shri Thanedar (D): 49,161 (48.4%) • • Follow more results here: •
DDHQ Race Update (est. 69% in): Michigan US House 13 Democratic Primary • • Donavan McKinney (D): 46,400 (51.7%) • Shri Thanedar (D): 43,390 (48.3%) • • Follow more results here: •
DDHQ Race Update (est. 55% in): Michigan US House 13 Democratic Primary • • Donavan McKinney (D): 37,746 (52.0%) • Shri Thanedar (D): 34,907 (48.1%) • • Follow more results here: •
DDHQ Race Update (est. 55% in): Michigan US House 13 Democratic Primary • • Donavan McKinney (D): 37,746 (52.0%) • Shri Thanedar (D): 34,907 (48.1%) • • Follow more results here: •
Live: In Michigan’s 13th Congressional District, Donavan McKinney, a democratic socialist, is winning the city of Detroit by seven percentage points in his primary challenge to Representative Shri Thanedar, even as his fellow progressive, Abdul El-Sayed, trails there by a wide margin.
Rep. Shri Thanedar now trails progressive challenger Donavan McKinney in #MI13 by 7 points w/ about 40% of the vote in:
DDHQ Race Update (est. 44% in): Michigan US House 13 Democratic Primary • • Donavan McKinney (D): 30,528 (52.7%) • Shri Thanedar (D): 27,441 (47.3%) • • Follow more results here: •
DDHQ Race Update (est. 2% in): Michigan US House 13 Democratic Primary • • Donavan McKinney (D): 1,790 (66.3%) • Shri Thanedar (D): 912 (33.8%) • • Follow more results here: •
Fundraising in #MI13 from Jul. 1 to Jul. 15, per FEC filings: • • Shri Thanedar (inc.) • Raised - $143,000 • Spent - $1.2 million • Cash-on-hand - $5 million • • Donavan McKinney • Raised - $113,000 • Spent - $234,000 • Cash-on-hand - $143,000
Q2 fundraising (Apr. 1 to Jun. 30) in the #MI13 Democratic primary: • • Shri Thanedar (inc.) • Raised - $350,000 • Spent - $875,000 • Cash-on-hand - $4.7 million • • Donavan McKinney • Raised - $257,000 • Spent - $448,000 • Cash-on-hand - $264,000
Where does the news lean?
29YES5NO2neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 97%.
Past moves on this market
Material odds moves (≥8 points within an hour of a matched news signal), newest first — each links to a dated brief on what moved the price.
How did this market resolve?
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
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See all outcomes for MI-13 Democratic Primary Winner — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.