Maine Senate Election Winner
Open13as of
Market pricing makes Troy Jackson (D) the favorite at 70% across 13 tracked outcomes, as of .
What are the odds right now?
Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.
What moved the odds?
11 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s latest price as of .
Live: Abortion rights group endorses Democrat Troy Jackson in critical Maine Senate race
Abortion rights group endorses Democrat Troy Jackson in critical Maine Senate race
Planned Parenthood Plans Its Biggest Ad Buy of 2026 Against Susan Collins
FOX NEWS POLLS: Brand new polling out of Michigan and Maine shows how voters are leaning in two of the most consequential races this midterm. • • Michigan: Republican Mike Rogers currently holds a 51% to 47% lead over Democrat Abdul El-Sayed in one of the nation's most competitive Senate contests, according to new Fox News Polls. • • Maine: Democrat Troy Jackson holds a narrow 48% to 46% lead over Republican Sen. Susan Collins. • • @alexismcadamstv @bretbaier @specialreport
Maine Dem Senate pick Troy Jackson attacked romantic rival, ‘pushed around’ girlfriend Lana Pelletier in 1988: police report
Senate Majority PAC polling memo: "Troy Jackson leads Susan Collins in the Maine election for U.S. senator by 49% to 45%, with 6% undecided. At a similar point in the 2020 election, Susan Collins and Sara Gideon were tied in our polling" • •
Senate Majority PAC polling memo: "Troy Jackson leads Susan Collins in the Maine election for U.S. senator by 49% to 45%, with 6% undecided. At a similar point in the 2020 election, Susan Collins and Sara Gideon were tied in our polling" • •
62% chance of a Democrat victory in Maine. •
TOP in @PunchbowlNews AM: In Maine, a state that could decide the Senate majority, GOP Sen. Susan Collins is touting her mastery of Washington’s power and influence system, while Democrat Graham Platner wants to burn that system to the ground. • • Full story: •
Democrats post early fundraising edge in marquee 2026 Senate races
Abortion rights group backs Janet Mills and others in first 2026 Senate endorsements
What is this event about?
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Maine U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.