Lai Ching-te visits US
Open2as of
Market pricing makes June 30 the favorite at 24% across 2 tracked outcomes, as of .
What are the odds right now?
Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.
June 3024%
December 3111%
What moved the odds?
No directional matched news signals are available across this event yet.
What is this event about?
If Lai Ching-te visits the United States between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Lai Ching-te physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States. Whether or not Lai Ching-te enters US airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from the US or Taiwan, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.