Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled
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Despite the ceasefire in effect since October 2025, Israel attacks Gaza daily: 1,313 dead since the truce and 73,449 in almost three years of offensive.
After months of negotiating, the terror group did just that on July 30. • The approved proposal for Hamas’s gradual disarmament requires Israel to “fully complete, w/o delay, all remaining commitments under 2025 truce,” which included an Israeli pull-back to Yellow Line. (12/31)
Hamas says it will stick to the Gaza ceasefire agreement roadmap
More on the Hamas deal: • • • “If there is no verified handover of Hamas’s weapons, there will be no Israeli withdrawals.” • • • According to the Board of Peace, as long as the ceasefire holds, the IDF is not expected to conduct military operations in Gaza. Any such decision ultimately remains Israel’s sovereign choice, but the U.S. assessment is that Israel would not want to be seen as violating the agreement. • • • Responding to criticism from both coalition and opposition figures in Israel, the senior official said: “It’s probably a bit political. Israel knows everything. The process is already underway.”
I reported in the Kan News edition: The Peace Council expects the implementation of the 15-point document to begin in the coming days. According to the agreement - to which Israel is not a party, but rather a document between Hamas, the mediators, and the Peace Council - in the 14 days that will be counted from the implementation date, Hamas will stop its military activity, including its escalation, and then the disarmament process will begin. At the same time, Israel will also have to cease fire in accordance with the agreement signed in October 2025. According to sources, Hamas has given its consent to the document to the US, Egypt, Qatar and Turkey. It was learned to Kan News that Article 8 - the one that paves the way for Palestinian self-determination - was also criticized by Hamas itself. According to a source involved in the discussions, Hamas wanted to formulate that the implementation of the plan constitutes all the conditions for a Palestinian state. American officials see an achievement in Hamas agreeing to an article in which the only ones who will take up arms will be the committee of bureaucrats in Gaza. "We are not demanding anything from Israel that it has not already signed. Israel is given the option here to see Hamas disarm - and voluntarily," a source in the Peace Council tells Kan News. "There is nothing here that is not written in the twenty points, and we hope that Gaza will be on this path of prosperity - and not of terror. "This is a document of the mediators and the Peace Council against Hamas. Israel's achievements are taken into account, and whatever was not addressed in the document itself will be addressed during the implementation, the procedures, mechanism, and timetables of which are expected to be completed in the next two weeks."
🇵🇸 Hamas said Friday it had agreed to a deal announced by US President Donald Trump to end the war with Israel, that includes it handing over its weapons to a Palestinian governing committee and the gradual withdrawal of Israeli forces from Gaza. • âž¡ï¸�
Hamas agrees to deal with Israel: what we know
After Trump announced that an agreement had been reached on the second phase of the ceasefire, senior Hamas official Razi Hamad said that Hamas's stockpiling of weapons was conditional on Israel's gradual withdrawal from the Gaza Strip and the dismantling of Israeli-backed militias.
Trump announced that an agreement had been reached on the complete disarmament of Hamas forces. He noted that Israel would withdraw its forces from Gaza after the disarmament of Hamas forces. Implementation of the disarmament agreement is reported to begin in the coming weeks.
Hamas claims an agreement has been reached with Israel.
Hamas claims an agreement has been reached with Israel.
Live: Hamas confirms deal to end conflict with Israel - report
Reuters, quoting a Peace Council official: The process regarding Article 8 will take some time to implement. Hamas agreement is based on conditions. We expect a local technocratic government to be the current alternative to the Palestinian Authority and Hamas. The Israeli withdrawal from Gaza will be in stages according to an agreed-upon timetable. If Israel does not agree, Trump will be disappointed. We are very confident that Israel will abide by the terms of the agreement. #AlMayadeen
Gaza agreement expected to be announced within days; Hamas agrees to terms
The White House believes that Hamas may sign an agreement within days to hand over its weapons and demilitarize the Gaza Strip. The White House and President Trump's Peace Council believe that Hamas may sign an agreement in the coming days to gradually disarm and demilitarize the Gaza Strip, according to four sources familiar with the matter. Why is this important: Hamas has not yet signed the agreement, and many doubt it will ultimately agree to implement it. But if it is signed, it would be a dramatic breakthrough in the implementation of President Trump's 20-point peace plan, which brought an end to the war in Gaza. The disarmament of Hamas is the main condition for the transfer of power in the Gaza Strip to the new technocratic Palestinian government, as well as for the beginning of the long process of reconstruction of the Strip, large parts of which were destroyed during the war as a result of Israeli military activity. The vast majority of the two million Palestinians in the Gaza Strip have still been living in tents and makeshift shelters since the war ended last October. Despite large amounts of food and aid entering the Strip, the humanitarian situation remains dire. The Hamas-controlled Gaza Health Ministry claims that nearly 1,200 Palestinians have been killed in the Strip since the ceasefire on October 10, 2025. While some were Hamas operatives, many were civilians, including children. The situation: The Peace Council, led by the United States, and the mediators Egypt, Qatar, and Turkey have been negotiating with Hamas for months on a 15-point plan intended to demilitarize the Strip and transfer power to the new National Committee for the Administration of Gaza (NCAG). For months, Hamas dragged its feet, refusing to disarm and trying to unilaterally transfer power to the NCAG without disarming. But now the peace council, the mediators and the Trump administration are hoping that external pressure and Hamas’s worsening economic crisis will lead the organization to agree to a deal in the coming days, the sources said. A source involved in the negotiations said that the Trump administration and the Peace Council have focused in recent months on drying up Hamas' sources of funding. "We think we have succeeded in bringing Hamas to a position where it can no longer say 'no,'" the source said. The negotiations are taking place in El Alamein, Egypt, and the sources said they are in their final stages. However, they cautioned that Hamas has not yet given its final approval or signed the agreement, so it is still unclear whether an agreement will be reached. behind the scenes: Two sources involved in the negotiations said that the mediators - Qatar, Turkey and especially Egypt - are exerting heavy pressure on Hamas to sign the agreement. American officials and sources familiar with the matter say that the central figure is the head of Egyptian intelligence, Hassan Rashad, who is hosting the current round of talks and maintains close contact with the new Hamas leader, Khalil al-Haya. On the other hand, Iran is exerting pressure in the opposite direction. A source familiar with the matter said that a Hamas delegation that visited Iran for the funeral of former Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei met with senior Revolutionary Guards (IRGC) officials. According to the source, Revolutionary Guard commanders advised Hamas not to rush to sign the agreement and to bide its time. The clauses of the agreement being formed: The guiding principle of the agreement is: one government in Gaza under the NCAG, one law, and one weapon. All weapons - heavy and light - will be dismantled in a process that will take between six and eight months. Hamas will hand over maps of its tunnel network, weapons production facilities, and weapons depots. The implementation will be gradual. The technocratic government will assume responsibility for different areas in the Strip only after they verify that each area is liberated. A new Palestinian police force, consisting of thousands of Palestinians who have passed Shin Bet security checks, will be trained and deployed in areas that will be transferred to NCAG control. The weapons will be stored under the supervision of the NCAG and the International Stabilization Force, which is expected to begin deploying in the Strip soon. The militias that Israel armed in the Gaza Strip will also hand over their weapons and be disbanded. Armed men who wish to surrender their personal weapons will be able to receive money in exchange for them as part of a weapons buyback program. Hamas members will receive amnesty and be allowed to remain in the Gaza Strip. The other side: According to the draft agreement, if Hamas signs it, Israel will withdraw back to the "Yellow Line", where the IDF was deployed after the ceasefire agreement last October. Since then, the IDF has retaken control of areas west of the "Yellow Line". Any further Israeli withdrawal will only take place if the agreement is actually implemented and after Hamas hands over its weapons. If Hamas signs the agreement, Israel will stop targeted assassinations of Hamas operatives in the Gaza Strip, except in cases of immediate threat ("ticking bomb"). Israeli officials strongly doubt that Hamas really intends to disarm. They say that Hamas is only willing to make a tactical move to ease the pressure on it. The Israeli government is also highly suspicious of Turkish and Qatari mediators. Israeli officials say both countries are helping Hamas maneuver to survive politically. Inside the room: A senior American official said the Gaza issue came up during a meeting between President Trump and Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu on Tuesday. White House envoy Steve Witkoff updated Netanyahu on the details of the negotiations with Hamas, and Netanyahu made it clear that he agreed to move forward, according to a source familiar with the matter. "Everything is fully coordinated and Israel knows all the details," said a source involved in the negotiations. "This is a good deal for Israel because it solves the Gaza problem. If Hamas cheats, everything will stop and Israel will not give up anything."
Exposing Here News: Hamas prevented Gazan contractors who received permits from the US headquarters and the IDF from reaching construction sites in the new Palestinian city planned to be built in Rafah. Israeli officials told the US: "We are getting closer to the renewal of fighting in Gaza" | First publication by @ItayBlumental #NewsHereEdition with @TaliMoreno_
Middle East war: "We are still operating within the framework of a ceasefire; it is absolutely essential for both sides," says former European Commissioner Thierry Breton
New information: High-level contacts continued through Thursday and Friday to solidify the ceasefire amid US efforts to de-escalate tensions following Israeli airstrikes that reached the outskirts of the capital. @daou_rimane
S&P SAYS U.S.–IRAN AND ISRAEL–HAMAS CEASEFIRES LIKELY TO REMAIN BROADLY INTACT ...
S&P Says U.S.–Iran and Israel–Hamas Ceasefires Likely to Remain Broadly Intact
S&P Says U.S.–Iran and Israel–Hamas Ceasefires Likely to Remain Broadly Intact
S&P on Israel: Expect U.S.-Iran and Israel-Hamas Ceasefire Agreements to Broadly Hold
Hamas: The occupation's escalation in targeting civilians in Gaza is a blatant violation of the ceasefire agreement and an extension of the war of extermination.
Israel confirms: Son of senior Hamas figure Khalil al-Hayya assassinated
'The ceasefire is holding. We must move into the full implementation of the 20-point plan. It will create the foundation to reunite Gaza and the West Bank under a reformed PA.' • • Nickolay Mladenov (@nmladenov), High Representative for Gaza Board of Peace joins @Nicole_Zedeck on #MiddleEastNow
'The ceasefire is holding. We must move into the full implementation of the 20-point plan. It will create the foundation to reunite Gaza and the West Bank under a reformed PA.' • • Nickolay Mladenov, High Representative for Gaza Board of Peace joins @Nicole_Zedeck on #MiddleEastNow
New: The Board of Peace does not intend to hold Israel to the terms of the October 2025 Gaza ceasefire if Hamas does not accept the international panel’s framework for the group’s disarmament, a document obtained by @TimesofIsrael shows. (1/20) •
The bombing forms part of a broader pattern of continued Israeli-led genocide in Gaza despite an existing ceasefire agreement. •
Oil rises and Asian stocks fall amid worries over ‘fragile’ ceasefire deal in Middle East – business live
What is this event about?
On October 9, Israel and Hamas signed a deal implementing a ceasefire: https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/israel-hamas-agree-gaza-ceasefire-return-hostages-2025-10-09/
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a either Israel or Hamas announce the cancellation of the ongoing ceasefire, or if a consensus of credible reporting confirms that the ceasefire is no longer in effect, by October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Announcements that one side or another violated the ongoing ceasefire will not be enough to resolve this market to "Yes"; only a definitive announcement by Israel or Hamas, or otherwise a wide consensus of credible reporting that that the ceasefire has been ended, will qualify to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary solution resolution source will be official information from Hamas or the government of Israel, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.