India Annual Inflation 2026

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Market pricing makes 4.50%+ the favorite at 90% across 7 tracked outcomes, as of .

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4.50%+dbws.io91%match20¢-50%
RPT-INSTANT VIEW-India’s July retail inflation at 4.45% on-year
3.75% to 4.49%cnbc92%match85¢+11%
India’s inflation accelerates to 4.45% in July, raising hopes of a rate hike later this year
4.50%+Reuters93%match20¢-50%
Rpt-Top Alert-India’s July Consumer Price-Based Inflation 4.45 % Y/Y (Reuters Poll 4.5% Y/Y) - Govt
3.75% to 4.49%Reuters92%match15¢-60%
Rpt-Top Alert-India’s July Consumer Price-Based Inflation 4.45 % Y/Y (Reuters Poll 4.5% Y/Y) - Govt
<0.75%asia.nikkei.com99%match98¢
India's weak monsoon hits crop sowing, raising inflation fears
4.50%+cnbc99%match32¢+181%
India's inflation accelerates to 4.38% in June, exceeding forecasts
4.50%+cnbc.com99%match32¢+181%
India's inflation accelerates to 4.38% in June, exceeding forecasts
4.50%+News99%match32¢+181%
*INDIA JUNE CONSUMER PRICES RISE 4.38% Y/Y; EST. +4.20%
4.50%+Reuters98%match68¢-85%
India’s June Consumer Price-Based Inflation 4.38 % Y/Y (Reuters Poll 4.3% Y/Y) - Govt
4.50%+Indian PM Modi98%match82¢+10%
We are continuously taking important decisions to protect the interests of our farmers across the country and increase their income. In this direction, our government has approved an increase in the Minimum Support Price (MSP) for Kharif crops for the 2026-27 marketing season. This decision will ensure that millions of farmers across the country receive fair and profitable prices for their produce and will also bring greater prosperity to their lives.
4.50%+openoutcrier99%match82¢+10%
India central bank governor says may need to act if inflation pressures deepen - Reuters • •
2.25% to 2.99%openoutcrier99%match91¢+9%
India central bank governor says may need to act if inflation pressures deepen - Reuters • •
4.50%+dbws.io99%match82¢+10%
India central bank governor says may need to act if inflation pressures deepen
2.25% to 2.99%dbws.io99%match90¢+10%
India central bank governor says may need to act if inflation pressures deepen
4.50%+piqnewswire99%match31¢-68%
India's annual consumer inflation likely moved closer to the central bank's 4% target in April, rising to an estimated 3.80% from 3.40% in March. Higher fuel costs are beginning to impact prices, though softer food prices and a decline in gold prices may offset some of this increase. • • More Here →
3.75% to 4.49%piqnewswire99%match5¢+20%
India's annual consumer inflation likely moved closer to the central bank's 4% target in April, rising to an estimated 3.80% from 3.40% in March. Higher fuel costs are beginning to impact prices, though softer food prices and a decline in gold prices may offset some of this increase. • • More Here →
India's annual consumer inflation likely moved closer to the central bank's 4% target in April, rising to an estimated 3.80% from 3.40% in March. Higher fuel costs are beginning to impact prices, though softer food prices and a decline in gold prices may offset some of this increase. • • More Here →
3.75% to 4.49%Reuters99%match19¢-68%
India MPC Member Saugata Bhattacharya: Energy Prices Are Unlikely, in the Near or Even the Medium Term, to Return to Their Pre-Conflict Levels - MPC Minutes
4.50%+Reuters99%match80¢-87%
India Cenbank Official Indranil Bhattacharyya:as Long as Inflation Expectations Remain Anchored, Looking Through the Shock is Optimal
3.00% to 3.74%Reuters99%match13¢-92%
India Cenbank Official Indranil Bhattacharyya:as Long as Inflation Expectations Remain Anchored, Looking Through the Shock is Optimal
4.50%+Reuters98%match20¢+350%
India Cenbank Official Indranil Bhattacharyya:Monetary Policy Has Limited Ability to Quell the Direct Effects of a Supply-Induced Inflation Shock
3.75% to 4.49%Reuters98%match19¢-68%
India Cenbank Official Indranil Bhattacharyya:Monetary Policy Has Limited Ability to Quell the Direct Effects of a Supply-Induced Inflation Shock
4.50%+Reuters99%match20¢+350%
India Cenbank Deputy Gupta: Inflation Could Increase to 4.6% in 2026-27, but Would Remain Well Within the Tolerance Band
3.75% to 4.49%Reuters99%match81¢+16%
India Cenbank Deputy Gupta: Inflation Could Increase to 4.6% in 2026-27, but Would Remain Well Within the Tolerance Band
3.00% to 3.74%Reuters98%match87¢+14%
India Cenbank Deputy Gupta: Inflation Could Increase to 4.6% in 2026-27, but Would Remain Well Within the Tolerance Band
<0.75%marketnews_feed99%match86¢+14%
*INDIA'S 2026 MONSOON RAINFALL SEEN BELOW NORMAL: WEATHER OFFICE ...
4.50%+News98%match27¢+233%
*INDIA'S 2026 MONSOON RAINFALL SEEN BELOW NORMAL: WEATHER OFFICE
<0.75%News99%match86¢+14%
*INDIA'S 2026 MONSOON RAINFALL SEEN BELOW NORMAL: WEATHER OFFICE
4.50%+diegobloomberg98%match27¢+233%
*INDIA'S 2026 MONSOON RAINFALL SEEN BELOW NORMAL: WEATHER OFFICE
<0.75%diegobloomberg99%match86¢+14%
*INDIA'S 2026 MONSOON RAINFALL SEEN BELOW NORMAL: WEATHER OFFICE

What is this event about?

This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in India over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Indian Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation (MoSPI). This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month. The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdf

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