India Annual Inflation 20263.00% to 3.74%

OpenVol$2KDeadlineas of

Odds now

The market prices a 1% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .

YES1¢
NO99¢

24has of

What moved the odds?

3 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .

NOReuters98%match87¢+14%
India Cenbank Deputy Gupta: Inflation Could Increase to 4.6% in 2026-27, but Would Remain Well Within the Tolerance Band
YESReuters99%match14¢-93%
India’s March Consumer Price-Based Inflation 3.40% Y/Y (Reuters Forecast 3.48% Y/Y) - Govt
NOfirstsquawk98%match89¢+11%
According to the World Bank, India’s CPI inflation for FY27 is expected at 4.9% due to higher food, energy costs, and currency depreciation.

Where does the news lean?

7YES2NO2neutraltrailing 24h

Average match confidence across the listed signals: 98%.

What would make this resolve YES?

This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in India over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Indian Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation (MoSPI). This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month. The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdf

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