How many Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
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Market pricing makes Above 50 the favorite at 7% across 8 tracked outcomes, as of .
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30 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s latest price as of .
The Clarity Act stalled. Bankers aren’t hitting the brakes yet on crypto dealmaking. • Crypto M&A has hit record levels, but the Clarity Act’s Senate setback leaves dealmakers weighing how much regulatory uncertainty still matters.
The Clarity Act stalled. Bankers aren’t hitting the brakes yet on crypto dealmaking. • Crypto M&A has hit record levels, but the Clarity Act’s Senate setback leaves dealmakers weighing how much regulatory uncertainty still matters.
The Clarity Act stalled. Bankers aren’t hitting the brakes yet on crypto dealmaking. • Crypto M&A has hit record levels, but the Clarity Act’s Senate setback leaves dealmakers weighing how much regulatory uncertainty still matters.
The Clarity Act stalled. Bankers aren’t hitting the brakes yet on crypto dealmaking. • Crypto M&A has hit record levels, but the Clarity Act’s Senate setback leaves dealmakers weighing how much regulatory uncertainty still matters.
Who Will Draft Crypto Clarity Act Next Congress?
New: An amendment quietly filed on the Clarity Act last week suggests crypto had even deeper GOP problems in the Senate than previously known. • • Seven (!) Republicans cosponsored a push to give banks a major win on stablecoin yield, further complicating Clarity’s math to 60 votes
New: An amendment quietly filed on the Clarity Act last week suggests crypto had even deeper GOP problems in the Senate than previously known. • • Seven (!) Republicans cosponsored a push to give banks a major win on stablecoin yield, further complicating Clarity’s math to 60 votes
New: An amendment quietly filed on the Clarity Act last week suggests crypto had even deeper GOP problems in the Senate than previously known. • • Seven (!) Republicans cosponsored a push to give banks a major win on stablecoin yield, further complicating Clarity’s math to 60 votes
New: An amendment quietly filed on the Clarity Act last week suggests crypto had even deeper GOP problems in the Senate than previously known. • • Seven (!) Republicans cosponsored a push to give banks a major win on stablecoin yield, further complicating Clarity’s math to 60 votes
SEC Chair Atkins: Crypto Rules Coming With or Without CLARITY Act. • SEC Turns to Independent Crypto Rulemaking as CLARITY Act Stalls In the days following a procedural Senate vote that blocked fur
Democrats wanted exchanges to be forced to delist any digital asset whose issuer breaks disclosure rules. The Clarity Act requires it. • • Senate Democrats still voted no.
The CLARITY Act: “Firms still do not have a clear answer on how some digital asset products will be classified or which rules apply”. • CI has received dozens of comments about the US Senate’s failure to advance the CLARITY Act. The legislation would have protected consumers while enabling innovation with defined regulatory oversight. This common-sense approach was crushed by midterm politics and the Democratic Party’s refusal to give Republicans... Read More
JUST IN: The CFTC sends a new crypto market structure proposal to the White House for review days after the CLARITY Act's Senate failure, moving swiftly on Chair Selig's promise to use existing authorities to regulate crypto markets.
CROWDFUNDINSIDER: Group of Senate Democrats Issue Statement on the CLARITY Act, Say they Are Committed to Passing Crypto Legislation
CROWDFUNDINSIDER: Group of Senate Democrats Issue Statement on the CLARITY Act, Say they Are Committed to Passing Crypto Legislation
What to Know About the CLARITY Act and What Happens Next. • The Senate’s September 15, 2026 cloture vote on the CLARITY Act ended 49–50. Here’s what the bill covers, what changed, and what’s next.
What to Know About the CLARITY Act and What Happens Next. • The Senate’s September 15, 2026 cloture vote on the CLARITY Act ended 49–50. Here’s what the bill covers, what changed, and what’s next.
What to Know About the CLARITY Act and What Happens Next. • The Senate’s September 15, 2026 cloture vote on the CLARITY Act ended 49–50. Here’s what the bill covers, what changed, and what’s next.
What to Know About the CLARITY Act and What Happens Next. • The Senate’s September 15, 2026 cloture vote on the CLARITY Act ended 49–50. Here’s what the bill covers, what changed, and what’s next.
What to Know About the CLARITY Act and What Happens Next. • The Senate’s September 15, 2026 cloture vote on the CLARITY Act ended 49–50. Here’s what the bill covers, what changed, and what’s next.
The measure, known as the Clarity Act, failed to secure the 60 senators needed to advance in a procedural vote on Tuesday. The legislation, which was expected to establish the first comprehensive regulatory framework for digital assets, had been under negotiation for over a year.
The measure, known as the Clarity Act, failed to secure the 60 senators needed to advance in a procedural vote on Tuesday. The legislation, which was expected to establish the first comprehensive regulatory framework for digital assets, had been under negotiation for over a year.
The measure, known as the Clarity Act, failed to secure the 60 senators needed to advance in a procedural vote on Tuesday. The legislation, which was expected to establish the first comprehensive regulatory framework for digital assets, had been under negotiation for over a year.
“Not the End” – Hope Remains that the CLARITY Act Can Be Re-animated. • Digital asset insiders are disappointed by today’s Senate vote on the CLARITY Act, which landed with a thud. The inability to advance crypto market infrastructure legislation is a significant loss for the industry, and most argue it is a loss for the United States. The vote... Read More
“Not the End” – Hope Remains that the CLARITY Act Can Be Re-animated. • Digital asset insiders are disappointed by today’s Senate vote on the CLARITY Act, which landed with a thud. The inability to advance crypto market infrastructure legislation is a significant loss for the industry, and most argue it is a loss for the United States. The vote... Read More
“Not the End” – Hope Remains that the CLARITY Act Can Be Re-animated. • Digital asset insiders are disappointed by today’s Senate vote on the CLARITY Act, which landed with a thud. The inability to advance crypto market infrastructure legislation is a significant loss for the industry, and most argue it is a loss for the United States. The vote... Read More
“Not the End” – Hope Remains that the CLARITY Act Can Be Re-animated. • Digital asset insiders are disappointed by today’s Senate vote on the CLARITY Act, which landed with a thud. The inability to advance crypto market infrastructure legislation is a significant loss for the industry, and most argue it is a loss for the United States. The vote... Read More
“Not the End” – Hope Remains that the CLARITY Act Can Be Re-animated. • Digital asset insiders are disappointed by today’s Senate vote on the CLARITY Act, which landed with a thud. The inability to advance crypto market infrastructure legislation is a significant loss for the industry, and most argue it is a loss for the United States. The vote... Read More
Crypto’s High-Roller Bet Comes Up Empty In The Senate. • The Senate's 49-50 cloture vote killed the CLARITY Act for 2026. Crypto's high-roller bet came up empty, but the deeper failure belongs to Congress.
Crypto’s High-Roller Bet Comes Up Empty In The Senate. • The Senate's 49-50 cloture vote killed the CLARITY Act for 2026. Crypto's high-roller bet came up empty, but the deeper failure belongs to Congress.
What is this event about?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of Senators voting "Yea" on the first Senate vote on final passage of crypto market structure legislation occurring before January 1, 2027 is above the number specified in this market's title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"Above" means strictly greater than the number specified in the title. For example, a market titled "Above 58" will resolve to "Yes" only if 59 or more Senators vote "Yea".
For purposes of this market, "crypto market structure legislation" is defined identically to Polymarket's "Crypto Market Structure legislation becomes law in 2026?" market: https://polymarket.com/event/crypto-market-structure-legislation-becomes-law-in-2026-20260727223933088
The qualifying vote must be a vote on final passage of the bill conducted in the full Senate - not a committee vote, and not a vote on a motion to proceed, a motion to invoke cloture, or an amendment. Not every Senator needs to have participated in the vote. The first vote on final passage will be used for resolution regardless of whether the bill passes on that vote; subsequent votes on passage — including any re-vote following a motion to reconsider, or a vote on a conference report or House-amended version — will not be considered.
If no qualifying vote occurs before January 1, 2027, this market will resolve to "No". If qualifying legislation passes the Senate before January 1, 2027 without a prior recorded vote on final passage (e.g., passage by voice vote or unanimous consent), this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of the number specified in this market's title.
Once the result of the vote has been announced, any subsequent request by a Senator to add, remove, or change a vote will not be considered for purposes of this market, regardless of any change to the official vote tally.
This market will resolve according to official records of the U.S. Senate (http://senate.gov) and Library of Congress (http://congress.gov).