Holborn and St Pancras By-Election: 3rd Place

OpenOutcomes67as of

Market pricing makes Ewan Cameron the favorite at 100% across 67 tracked outcomes, as of .

What are the odds right now?

Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.

Ewan Cameron100%
Candidate B50%
Candidate C50%
Candidate D50%
Candidate E50%
Candidate F50%
Candidate G50%
Candidate H50%
Candidate I50%
Candidate J50%
Candidate K50%
Candidate L50%
Candidate M50%
Candidate N50%
Candidate O50%
Candidate P50%
Sagal Abdi-Wali0%
Barmy Brunch0%
Tom Darwood0%
Clare Fischer0%
George Galloway0%
Tyler Johnson0%
Briony Kapoor0%
Peter Newman0%
Ketankumar Pipaliya0%
Zack Polanski0%
Jonathan Silberman0%
Helen Spiby-Vann0%
Patrick Stillman0%
Ben Walker0%

All further outcomes (37 more):

Candidate Q · Candidate R · Candidate S · Candidate T · Candidate U · Candidate V · Candidate W · Candidate X · Candidate Y · Candidate Z · Candidate AA · Candidate AB · Candidate AC · Candidate AD · Candidate AE · Candidate AF · Candidate AG · Candidate AH · Candidate AI · Candidate AJ · Candidate AK · Candidate AL · Candidate AM · Candidate AN · Candidate AO · Candidate AP · Candidate AQ · Candidate AR · Candidate AS · Candidate AT · Candidate AU · Candidate AV · Candidate AW · Candidate AX · Candidate AY · Candidate AZ · Other

What moved the odds?

A complete combined signal timeline is unavailable. The outcome odds above remain current to the stated time.

What is this event about?

A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Holborn and St Pancras is scheduled to be held on October 8, 2026, following the resignation of incumbent Sir Keir Starmer. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the third most valid votes in the Holborn and St Pancras parliamentary by-election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Camden Council (https://www.camden.gov.uk/).

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