Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain

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Market pricing makes December 31 the favorite at 5% across 2 tracked outcomes, as of .

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December 31Bahrain Army92%match91¢+4%
His Majesty King Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa, the Supreme Commander of the Armed Forces, may God protect him, attended the joint exercise "Shield of Bahrain" with the participation of the armed forces of the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) countries.
His Majesty the King receives the family of the late writer and poet Ali Abdullah Khalifa.
His Majesty the King receives the family of the late writer and poet Ali Abdullah Khalifa.
His Majesty the King receives the family of the late writer and poet Ali Abdullah Khalifa.
June 30Jordan State Media99%match97¢+3%
The King of Bahrain affirms his country's pride in its relations with Jordan. #Petra #Jordan
June 30Jordan State Media99%match97¢+3%
The King of Bahrain meets with the President of the Senate #Jordan #JordanianTV
June 30Jordan State Media99%match97¢+3%
The King of Bahrain, Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa, affirmed the Kingdom of Bahrain’s pride in the close fraternal relations and deep-rooted historical ties that bind it to the sisterly Hashemite Kingdom of Jordan, ties that are becoming increasingly developed and distinguished thanks to the keenness of the leadership of both countries to strengthen and reinforce them in a way that achieves mutual interests. This came during today’s reception of the President of the Senate, Faisal Akef Al-Fayez, and his accompanying delegation during his official visit to Bahrain. Al-Fayez conveyed the greetings of His Majesty King Abdullah II and His Royal Highness Crown Prince Al Hussein bin Abdullah II to King Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa, and their wishes for continued health and well-being, and for the Kingdom of Bahrain continued security, stability, progress and prosperity, under the wise leadership.
June 30moi_bahrain99%match97¢+3%
Your Excellency, the Minister: The security and stability that the Kingdom of Bahrain enjoys is due, after God Almighty, to the wisdom, firmness and leadership of His Majesty the King, who laid the foundations of the state and provided our national defense and security assets.
His Majesty the King receives further messages of support and loyalty from a number of honorable Bahraini families.
His Majesty the King receives further messages of support and loyalty from a number of honorable Bahraini families.
June 30Jordan State Media99%match97¢+3%
Bahrain's Crown Prince Salman bin Hamad Al Khalifa meets with Senate President Faisal Al-Fayez Al-Fayez conveys the greetings of His Majesty the King and His Highness the Crown Prince to His Majesty King Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa and the Crown Prince of Bahrain The Crown Prince of Bahrain affirms that Bahraini-Jordanian relations derive their strength from the depth of historical ties and close cooperation that unites the two brotherly countries. Al-Fayez expressed his thanks and appreciation to His Highness the Crown Prince of Bahrain for his continued keenness and interest in developing bilateral cooperation between Bahrain and Jordan. Al-Fayez: Jordan and Bahrain are working together to confront regional challenges and promote stability and peace in the region. #Petra #Jordan
His Majesty the King receives further messages of support and loyalty from a number of honorable Bahraini families.
June 30tasnimarabic99%match98¢+2%
Prominent Bahraini dignitaries and sheikhs arrested by the Al Khalifa regime in Bahrain
June 30middleeasteye.net99%match98¢+2%
Bahrain expels three MPs after they voted against royal decree on citizenship oversight
His Majesty the King issues Royal Order No. (15) of 2026 to reconstitute the Board of Trustees of the Isa bin Salman Educational Charitable Endowment
His Majesty the King issues Royal Order No. (15) of 2026 to reconstitute the Board of Trustees of the Isa bin Salman Educational Charitable Endowment
His Majesty the King issues Royal Order No. (13) of 2026 extending the sixth legislative term of the Shura and Representatives Councils
June 30Sky News Arabia99%match95¢+5%
The President of the UAE and the King of Bahrain exchange views on a number of issues and topics of common interest.
His Highness Sheikh Abdullah bin Hamad Al Khalifa receives the Ambassador of the United States of America to the Kingdom of Bahrain
| The King of the Kingdom of Bahrain arrives in Jeddah to participate in the Gulf Consultative Summit, and His Highness the Crown Prince is at the forefront of those receiving him. #Gulf_Summit_in_Jeddah
The King of the Kingdom of Bahrain arrives in Jeddah to participate in the Gulf Consultative Summit, and His Highness the Crown Prince is at the forefront of those receiving him. #Gulf_Summit_in_Jeddah
The King of the Kingdom of Bahrain arrives in Jeddah to participate in the Gulf Consultative Summit, and His Highness the Crown Prince is at the forefront of those receiving him. #Gulf_Summit_in_Jeddah #SPA
The King of Bahrain arrives in Jeddah to participate in the Gulf Consultative Summit, and the Crown Prince is at the forefront of those receiving him. #Gulf_Summit_in_Jeddah
The King of the Kingdom of Bahrain arrives in Jeddah to participate in the Gulf Consultative Summit, and His Highness the Crown Prince is at the forefront of those receiving him. #Gulf_Summit_in_Jeddah #SPA
Embassy of Russia in the Kingdom of Bahrain: On April 25, 2026, the King of Bahrain Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa received the Ambassador of Russia in Manama A.V. Skosyrev. The meeting was attended by Sheikh Abdullah bin Hamad Al Khalifa, the King's Special Representative, and Sheikh Nasser bin Hamad Al Khalifa, the King's Representative for Humanitarian Affairs and Youth Affairs. The King of Bahrain highly praised Russian President Vladimir Putin's efforts to develop relations between the two countries. During the meeting, the sides discussed further strengthening bilateral cooperation between Manama and Moscow. The King conveyed his best wishes for continued success and achievements. For his part, A.V. Skosyrev expressed gratitude to the King and noted his contribution to the development of Bahraini-Russian relations at all levels. : bna.bh #RussiaBahrain
June 30Al Hadath99%match94¢+6%
The King of Bahrain arrives in Jeddah to attend the extraordinary Gulf summit, and is received by the Saudi Crown Prince.
June 30Asharq99%match94¢+6%
The King of Bahrain arrives in Jeddah to participate in the Gulf Cooperation Council's consultative summit.
June 30Al Arabiya99%match94¢+6%
The King of Bahrain arrives in Jeddah to attend the extraordinary Gulf summit, and is received by the Saudi Crown Prince.
June 30iranintlbrk98%match94¢+6%
Al Arabiya reported that the King of Bahrain and the Crown Prince of Kuwait left their countries to attend the Gulf Cooperation Council summit in Jeddah.
June 30Al Arabiya99%match94¢+6%
The King of Bahrain and the Crown Prince of Kuwait depart their countries to attend the Gulf summit in Jeddah.

What is this event about?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the King of Bahrain, Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa, ceases to be the de facto leader of Bahrain at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Bahrain if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Bahrain within this market's timeframe. An announcement of Khalifa's resignation or abdication will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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