Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of BahrainJune 30

ResolvedOutcome: NoVol$195KResolvedas of

Odds now

This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .

YES0¢
NO100¢

24has of

What moved the odds?

25 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .

NOJordan State Media99%match97¢+3%
The King of Bahrain affirms his country's pride in its relations with Jordan. #Petra #Jordan
NOJordan State Media99%match97¢+3%
The King of Bahrain meets with the President of the Senate #Jordan #JordanianTV
NOJordan State Media99%match97¢+3%
The King of Bahrain, Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa, affirmed the Kingdom of Bahrain’s pride in the close fraternal relations and deep-rooted historical ties that bind it to the sisterly Hashemite Kingdom of Jordan, ties that are becoming increasingly developed and distinguished thanks to the keenness of the leadership of both countries to strengthen and reinforce them in a way that achieves mutual interests. This came during today’s reception of the President of the Senate, Faisal Akef Al-Fayez, and his accompanying delegation during his official visit to Bahrain. Al-Fayez conveyed the greetings of His Majesty King Abdullah II and His Royal Highness Crown Prince Al Hussein bin Abdullah II to King Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa, and their wishes for continued health and well-being, and for the Kingdom of Bahrain continued security, stability, progress and prosperity, under the wise leadership.
NOBahrain News Agency - BNA98%match97¢+3%
His Majesty the King receives further messages of support and loyalty from a number of honorable Bahraini families.
NOBahrain News Agency - BNA98%match97¢+3%
His Majesty the King receives further messages of support and loyalty from a number of honorable Bahraini families.
NOJordan State Media99%match97¢+3%
Bahrain's Crown Prince Salman bin Hamad Al Khalifa meets with Senate President Faisal Al-Fayez Al-Fayez conveys the greetings of His Majesty the King and His Highness the Crown Prince to His Majesty King Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa and the Crown Prince of Bahrain The Crown Prince of Bahrain affirms that Bahraini-Jordanian relations derive their strength from the depth of historical ties and close cooperation that unites the two brotherly countries. Al-Fayez expressed his thanks and appreciation to His Highness the Crown Prince of Bahrain for his continued keenness and interest in developing bilateral cooperation between Bahrain and Jordan. Al-Fayez: Jordan and Bahrain are working together to confront regional challenges and promote stability and peace in the region. #Petra #Jordan
NOBahrain News Agency - BNA99%match98¢+2%
His Majesty the King receives further messages of support and loyalty from a number of honorable Bahraini families.
NOmiddleeasteye.net99%match98¢+2%
Bahrain expels three MPs after they voted against royal decree on citizenship oversight
NOBahrain News Agency - BNA99%match97¢+3%
His Majesty the King issues Royal Order No. (15) of 2026 to reconstitute the Board of Trustees of the Isa bin Salman Educational Charitable Endowment
NOBahrain News Agency - BNA99%match97¢+3%
His Majesty the King issues Royal Order No. (15) of 2026 to reconstitute the Board of Trustees of the Isa bin Salman Educational Charitable Endowment
NOBahrain News Agency - BNA99%match95¢+5%
His Majesty the King issues Royal Order No. (13) of 2026 extending the sixth legislative term of the Shura and Representatives Councils
NOSky News Arabia99%match95¢+5%
The President of the UAE and the King of Bahrain exchange views on a number of issues and topics of common interest.
NOSaudi Foreign Ministry99%match94¢+6%
| The King of the Kingdom of Bahrain arrives in Jeddah to participate in the Gulf Consultative Summit, and His Highness the Crown Prince is at the forefront of those receiving him. #Gulf_Summit_in_Jeddah
NOSaudi Foreign Ministry99%match94¢+6%
The King of the Kingdom of Bahrain arrives in Jeddah to participate in the Gulf Consultative Summit, and His Highness the Crown Prince is at the forefront of those receiving him. #Gulf_Summit_in_Jeddah
NOSaudi Press Agency (SPA)99%match94¢+6%
The King of the Kingdom of Bahrain arrives in Jeddah to participate in the Gulf Consultative Summit, and His Highness the Crown Prince is at the forefront of those receiving him. #Gulf_Summit_in_Jeddah #SPA
The King of Bahrain arrives in Jeddah to participate in the Gulf Consultative Summit, and the Crown Prince is at the forefront of those receiving him. #Gulf_Summit_in_Jeddah
NOSaudi Press Agency (SPA)99%match94¢+6%
The King of the Kingdom of Bahrain arrives in Jeddah to participate in the Gulf Consultative Summit, and His Highness the Crown Prince is at the forefront of those receiving him. #Gulf_Summit_in_Jeddah #SPA
NORussian Foreign Ministry99%match94¢+6%
Embassy of Russia in the Kingdom of Bahrain: On April 25, 2026, the King of Bahrain Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa received the Ambassador of Russia in Manama A.V. Skosyrev. The meeting was attended by Sheikh Abdullah bin Hamad Al Khalifa, the King's Special Representative, and Sheikh Nasser bin Hamad Al Khalifa, the King's Representative for Humanitarian Affairs and Youth Affairs. The King of Bahrain highly praised Russian President Vladimir Putin's efforts to develop relations between the two countries. During the meeting, the sides discussed further strengthening bilateral cooperation between Manama and Moscow. The King conveyed his best wishes for continued success and achievements. For his part, A.V. Skosyrev expressed gratitude to the King and noted his contribution to the development of Bahraini-Russian relations at all levels. : bna.bh #RussiaBahrain
NOAl Hadath99%match94¢+6%
The King of Bahrain arrives in Jeddah to attend the extraordinary Gulf summit, and is received by the Saudi Crown Prince.
NOAsharq99%match94¢+6%
The King of Bahrain arrives in Jeddah to participate in the Gulf Cooperation Council's consultative summit.
NOAl Arabiya99%match94¢+6%
The King of Bahrain arrives in Jeddah to attend the extraordinary Gulf summit, and is received by the Saudi Crown Prince.
NOiranintlbrk98%match94¢+6%
Al Arabiya reported that the King of Bahrain and the Crown Prince of Kuwait left their countries to attend the Gulf Cooperation Council summit in Jeddah.
NOAl Arabiya99%match94¢+6%
The King of Bahrain and the Crown Prince of Kuwait depart their countries to attend the Gulf summit in Jeddah.
NOspa.gov.sa99%match91¢+10%
Political / King of Bahrain receives phone call from US President
NOAl Arabiya98%match91¢+10%
King of Bahrain: It is important to consolidate the concept of collective Arab national security to protect Arab states.

Where does the news lean?

2YES29NO1neutraltrailing 24h

Average match confidence across the listed signals: 99%.

How did this market resolve?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the King of Bahrain, Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa, ceases to be the de facto leader of Bahrain at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Bahrain if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Bahrain within this market's timeframe. An announcement of Khalifa's resignation or abdication will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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