Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.2m barrels per day in 2026? Odds fell to 60% on Sep 2, 2026
Open
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.2m barrels per day in 2026? On , the market’s odds fell from 72¢ to 59.5¢ (-12.5 pts) within an hour of an AI-matched news signal from White House Rapid Response.
How did the odds move?
72¢
72¢
59¢
59.5¢
-12.5 pts
Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.
What moved the odds?
YesWhite House Rapid Response97%match
.@SecretaryWright on Venezuelan oil production: "Today, it's over 1.2 million barrels/day. I think we'll be well over 1.5 million barrels/day by the first half of next year — and Venezuelan production will be over 2 million barrels/day by the end of this decade."
Where does this market stand now?
The market prices a 72% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES72¢
NO28¢
$11K
Follow this market
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.2m barrels per day in 2026? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.
See all outcomes for Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach __ barrels per day in 2026? — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.