Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 6.75% (HIGH) by December 31, 2026? Odds jumped to 100% on Sep 10, 2026

ResolvedMove

Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 6.75% (HIGH) by December 31, 2026? On , the market’s odds jumped from 90.5¢ to 100¢ (+9.5 pts) within an hour of an AI-matched news signal from Reuters. The market has since resolved.

How did the odds move?

At match90.5¢
+5m98.5¢
+30m100¢
+1h100¢
1h move+9.5 pts

Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.

Later moves the same day

This is the market’s single brief for Sep 10, 2026; further measured moves that day are folded in here as they are stamped.

  • 91.7¢ → 100¢+8.3 ptsafter a signal from livesquawk

What moved the odds?

NeutralReuters97%match
U.S. 30-Yr Fixed Rate Mortgages Average 6.76 PCT Sept 10 Week, Highest Since June 2025, vs 6.71 PCT Prior Week -Freddie Mac

Where does this market stand now?

This market has resolved. Final market pricing put YES at 100%, as of .

YES100¢
NO0¢

Vol$5K

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Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 6.75% (HIGH) by December 31, 2026? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.

See all outcomes for Will the 30-year Mortgage Rate hit __ in 2026? — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.