Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 6.75% (HIGH) by December 31, 2026? Odds fell to 45% on Jul 15, 2026
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Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 6.75% (HIGH) by December 31, 2026? On , the market’s odds fell from 61¢ to 45¢ (-16 pts) within an hour of a news signal, one of a 2-source news cluster, from Walter Bloomberg.
How did the odds move?
Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.
What moved the odds?
Part of a 2-source news cluster, first seen . The triggering signal is listed first.
Where does this market stand now?
The market prices a 73% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
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Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 6.75% (HIGH) by December 31, 2026? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.
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