Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? Odds fell to 22% on Sep 17, 2026

OpenMove

Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? On , the market’s odds fell from 31.5¢ to 21.5¢ (-10 pts) within an hour of an AI-matched news signal from money.udn.com.

How did the odds move?

At match31.5¢
+5m28¢
+30m26.5¢
+1h21.5¢
1h move-10 pts

Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.

What moved the odds?

Yesmoney.udn.com96%match
Is the Fed's first rate hike in three years not over yet? Three major banks estimate another 25 basis point increase in December.

Where does this market stand now?

The market prices a 27% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .

YES27¢
NO74¢

Vol$7K

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Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.

See all outcomes for Fed decisions (Sep–Dec) — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.