Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? Odds jumped to 35% on Sep 16, 2026

OpenMove

Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? On , the market’s odds jumped from 19.5¢ to 34.5¢ (+15 pts) within an hour of a news signal, one of a 2-source news cluster, from Semi-Official YJC News Agency.

How did the odds move?

At match19.5¢
+5m19.5¢
+30m20.5¢
+1h34.5¢
1h move+15 pts

Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.

Later moves the same day

This is the market’s single brief for Sep 16, 2026; further measured moves that day are folded in here as they are stamped.

  • 19.5¢ → 34.5¢+15 ptsafter a signal from Iran Semi-Official Mehr

What moved the odds?

Part of a 2-source news cluster, first seen . The triggering signal is listed first.

NeutralSemi-Official YJC News Agency95%match
US interest rate hike The US Federal Reserve raised interest rates by 25 basis points to a range of 3.75 to 4 percent. This is the first interest rate hike since 2023. Instantly, $490 billion in US stock market value was wiped out in just 25 minutes. @YjcNewsChannel
NeutralIran Semi-Official Mehr94%match
Interest rate hike in the US The US Federal Reserve raised interest rates by 25 basis points to a range of 3.75 to 4 percent. This is the first interest rate hike since 2023. Immediately, $490 billion was wiped off the value of US stocks in just 25 minutes. mehrnews.com @Mehrnews

Where does this market stand now?

The market prices a 20% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .

YES20¢
NO80¢

Vol$2K

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Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.

See all outcomes for Fed decisions (Sep–Dec) — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.