Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.70% before 2027? Odds jumped to 79% on Sep 29, 2026
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Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.70% before 2027? On , the market’s odds jumped from 67.5¢ to 78.5¢ (+11 pts) within an hour of a news signal, one of a 2-source news cluster, from News.
How did the odds move?
Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.
Later moves the same day
This is the market’s single brief for Sep 29, 2026; further measured moves that day are folded in here as they are stamped.
- 67.5¢ → 78.5¢+11 ptsafter a signal from News
- 67.5¢ → 78.5¢+11 ptsafter a signal from Walter Bloomberg
- 67.5¢ → 78.5¢+11 ptsafter a signal from cls.cn
- 67.5¢ → 78.5¢+11 ptsafter a signal from Reuters
- 67.5¢ → 78.5¢+11 ptsafter a signal from ft.com
What moved the odds?
Part of a 2-source news cluster, first seen . The triggering signal is listed first.
Where does this market stand now?
The market prices a 80% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
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Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.70% before 2027? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.
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