How high will 30-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
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Market pricing makes 5.40% the favorite at 85% across 13 tracked outcomes, as of .
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10 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s latest price as of .
Treasury 30-Year Bond auction: high yield 5.618%, bid-to-cover 2.54, $22.52B sold
TREASURY YIELDS SURGE TO FRESH 24-YEAR HIGHS • • Treasuries sold off sharply, pushing the 10-year yield to 5.34% and the 30-year to 5.70%, their highest levels since 2002. • • Pressure comes from resilient growth, AI-driven investment and persistent inflation, with ISM Services Prices Paid hitting 74.0, the highest since July 2022. • • Markets price roughly a 25% chance of an October Fed hike, with a full 25bp increase priced by December.
U.S. 30-year Treasury yield surpasses 5.6% during intraday trading… highest since 2002
U.S. 30-year Treasury yield surpasses 5.6% during intraday trading… highest since 2002
Yields on 30-year US Treasury bonds rise above 5.60% for the first time since June 2002
The yield on the 30-year U.S. Treasury note rose to 5.60%, the highest level since 2002.
US 30-year Treasury yield rises to 5.5% for the first time in 22 years; 60% of respondents expect the Fed to hike interest rates three times in a row.
Yield on 30-Year U.S. Treasury Bonds Extends Gains to Trade Above 5.55% for Highest Levels Since May 2004, Last Up 3.9 Basis Points at 5.541%
U.S. 10-year Treasury yield surpasses 5.2%... 30-year at 5.5%, ‘long-term high interest rates’
What is this event about?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).