Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? Odds jumped to 38% on Aug 5, 2026

ResolvedOutcome: NoMove

Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? On , the market’s odds jumped from 29.3¢ to 38.3¢ (+9.1 pts) within an hour of an AI-matched news signal from Decision Desk (DDHQ). The market has since resolved No.

How did the odds move?

At match29.3¢
+5m58.3¢
+30m39.6¢
+1h38.3¢
1h move+9.1 pts

Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.

Later moves the same day

This is the market’s single brief for Aug 5, 2026; further measured moves that day are folded in here as they are stamped.

  • 50.8¢ → 10.8¢-40 ptsafter a signal from Axios Reporter
  • 39.1¢ → 7.9¢-31.2 ptsafter a signal from Decision Desk (DDHQ)

What moved the odds?

YesDecision Desk (DDHQ)98%match
DDHQ Race Update (est. 25% in): Michigan US House 13 Democratic Primary • • Shri Thanedar (D): 17,949 (54.2%) • Donavan McKinney (D): 15,142 (45.8%) • • Follow more results here: •

Where does this market stand now?

This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .

YES0¢
NO100¢

Vol$832K

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Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.

See all outcomes for MI-13 Democratic Primary Winner — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.