Will over 50 Senators vote for the Clarity Act? Odds fell to 14% on Sep 15, 2026

OpenMove

Will over 50 Senators vote for the Clarity Act? On , the market’s odds fell from 28.5¢ to 14.5¢ (-14 pts) within an hour of an AI-matched news signal from Bloomberg Reporter.

How did the odds move?

At match28.5¢
+5m17¢
+30m15¢
+1h14.5¢
1h move-14 pts

Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.

What moved the odds?

NoBloomberg Reporter97%match
CLARITY ACT BLOCKED in Senate procedural vote w/ 50 nays. Big loss for the crypto industry and its long lobby for market structure legislation.

Where does this market stand now?

The market prices a 15% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .

YES15¢
NO85¢

Vol$32K

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Will over 50 Senators vote for the Clarity Act? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.

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